Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Levadia Tallinn currently sits at the top of the Meistriliiga standings, showcasing impressive form with 14 wins from 20 matches. Their strong goal difference of +33, with 50 goals scored and only 17 conceded, highlights their dominance this season. They have been particularly effective in both attack and defence, making them formidable opponents. In contrast, Laagri is positioned 8th in the league, with a record of 8 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses from 21 matches. Their goal difference of -5 indicates struggles in defence, having conceded 35 goals while scoring 30. Despite winning three of their last five matches, their overall season performance reveals inconsistencies that could be exploited by a stronger team like FC Levadia Tallinn. According to the model, FC Levadia Tallinn has a high win probability for this fixture. While they are expected to control the game, Laagri’s recent form suggests they could pose a threat if they capitalize on any defensive lapses. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to arrive at these forecasts.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 65% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn win as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 9.25 | 5.60 | 1.22 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 9.20 | 5.70 | 1.21 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.68 | 2.01 | |
| 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 8.79 | 6.06 | 1.24 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.14 | 5.32 | 1.23 | — | — | — | — | |
| 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.25 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 9.55 | 5.70 | 1.22 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.68 | 2.04 | |
| 8.50 | 5.75 | 1.23 | 1.30 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.17 | |
| 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 7.60 | 5.20 | 1.27 | — | — | — | — |
BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.18 | 1.25 | 2.50 | 1.53 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 6-1)In the last nine encounters between Laagri and FC Levadia Tallinn, FC Levadia Tallinn has won six times, Laagri has won once, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a generally dominant performance by FC Levadia Tallinn, with three matches ending in victories by three goals or more, including a heavy 6-1 win. The results suggest a tendency for tight matches, as evidenced by the two draws and Laagri's narrow 2-1 win. Laagri's last victory against FC Levadia Tallinn was in May 2023, highlighting a challenging recent history for them.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 53 | WWDWL |
| 2 |  Kalju Nomme | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 21 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 39 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 36 | DWLWD |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 | WLLWW |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 8 | Laagri | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 25 | LLLWW |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 | WWLDL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 17 | DLWWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLaagri have won 11 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tamper 3-1 and beat Rae Spordikool 8-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 14L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Levadia Tallinn have won 13 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 1-2 and drew with Vaprus 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 7D 5L from the last 34 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLaagri
No reported absences
FC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Jaanovits has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Jaanovits to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Laagri average 1.9 goals per match at home; FC Levadia Tallinn 2.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 65% of their matches and averaging 2.6 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.