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Lask Linz vs Grazer AK Prediction, Tips & Odds

Lask Linz vs Grazer AK

BundesligaRegular Season - 1
Lask Linz
WWLLL
VS
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz (19,080)
Referee: S. Gishamer
Grazer AK
WLWLL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.78
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.74 (implied 57.4%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 59.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.67). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (59.9% vs 57.4%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Lask Linz to win against Grazer AK, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Lask Linz has shown a mixed form recently, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. However, their ability to secure victories, particularly in their last two outings, suggests they are finding form at a crucial time in the season. In contrast, Grazer AK's recent performances have also been inconsistent, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. While they managed to secure a win in their most recent match, their overall form indicates they are struggling to maintain consistency, which could hinder their chances against a more settled Lask Linz side. According to the model, Lask Linz has a win probability of approximately 60% for this match. However, the caveat is that if Grazer AK can capitalize on their opportunities and Lask Linz fails to convert their chances, an upset could be on the cards. The full method behind this prediction, which utilizes expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this in-house model to provide insights into match outcomes.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Lask Linz Win55%1.64
Draw21%3.86
Grazer AK Win24%4.80
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7358.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7458.1%

Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Lask Linz 1-0 Grazer AK
6.9214.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
Lask Linz -1.5
2.7535%

Lask Linz have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
6.92
14.5%
1-1
6.99
14.4%
2-1
7.45
13.5%
2-0
7.79
12.9%
0-0
11.35
9.0%
3-1
11.93
8.5%

Our model projects a 1-0 Lask Linz win as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Lask Linz clean sheets, in line with their 28% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Lask Linz
-0.0
1.25
Grazer AK
+0.0
3.59
Lask Linz
-0.5
1.62
Grazer AK
+0.5
4.40
Lask Linz
-1.5
2.75
Grazer AK
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Lask Linz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Lask Linz vs Grazer AK
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.653.854.801.752.051.702.00
Marathonbet
1.643.844.951.762.031.731.97
Betfair
1.624.004.751.732.101.732.10
Pinnacle
1.653.974.891.782.07
SBO
1.603.574.431.722.13
William Hill
1.673.704.601.751.95
Bet365
1.624.005.001.752.051.801.95
1xBet
1.663.844.891.762.031.732.00
Unibet
1.623.954.801.721.961.721.93
Betano
1.653.805.001.752.051.722.00
Superbet
1.653.904.701.722.001.741.97
BetVictor
1.623.904.801.721.971.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XLask Linz or Draw
76%1.16
12Lask Linz or Grazer AK
79%1.22
X2Draw or Grazer AK
45%2.17

Head to Head

Last 9 Meetings (Lask Linz leads 6-1)
6 Lask Linz1 Draw1 Grazer AK
Dec 25
Grazer AK
1-2
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Oct 25
Lask Linz
1-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
May 25
Grazer AK
1-0
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Apr 25
Lask Linz
1-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
Feb 25
Grazer AK
0-0
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Sept 24
Lask Linz
4-2
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
Jan 22
Lask Linz
7-1
Grazer AK
Friendlies Clubs
May 13
Lask Linz
-
Grazer AK
Regionalliga - Mitte
Oct 12
Grazer AK
2-6
Lask Linz
Regionalliga - Mitte

In their last nine encounters, Lask Linz has won six times, Grazer AK has won once, and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a significant advantage for Lask Linz, particularly highlighted by a heavy 7-1 victory and a 6-2 win in earlier matches. Recent fixtures show a tendency for Lask to secure narrow victories, with four of their six wins being by a single goal margin. Grazer AK's sole win came several years ago, and they have not won against Lask Linz in their last five meetings, suggesting a challenging trend for them in this matchup.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Lask LinzGrazer AK
2.48Goals p.g.1.7
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.22
28%Clean sheets26%
62%Win rate41%
3.72Avg goals in match2.93
2.06xG per game
0.53xGA per game
45%Possession %
5.0Shots on target / game
5.7Corners per game
Lask Linz
Recent Form

Lask Linz have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Lask Linz 2-0 and lost to Lask Linz 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 6L from the last 29 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Lask LinzAll competitions
25 Jul
Kalsdorf
0-7
Lask Linz
Cup
18 Jul
Lask Linz
2-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Lask Linz
1-2
Fenerbahçe
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
FC Ingolstadt 04
2-0
Lask Linz
Friendlies Clubs
03 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2-0
Lask Linz
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
WSPG Wels
0-5
Lask Linz
Friendlies Clubs
18
Win
62%
5
Draw
17%
6
Lost
21%
Grazer AK
Recent Form

Grazer AK have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Grazer AK 0-4 and beat FC BW Linz 0-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 9L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Grazer AKAll competitions
25 Jul
Fach-Donaufeld
0-4
Grazer AK
Cup
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0-5
Dynamo Dresden
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Grazer AK
1-0
SV Kapfenberg
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Grazer AK
2-4
First Vienna
Friendlies Clubs
24 Jun
Grazer AK
0-1
Slovan Bratislava
Friendlies Clubs
19 Jun
Grazer AK
2-2
Gyori ETO FC
Friendlies Clubs
11
Win
41%
7
Draw
26%
9
Lost
33%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Lask Linz

No reported absences

Grazer AK

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Lask Linz Win1.64 (55.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.74 (58.1%)
Both Teams Score1.73 (58%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.04 (41.9%)
BTTS No1.99 (42%)
Speculative
Draw3.86 (20.8%)
Grazer AK Win4.80 (23.9%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. Gishamer has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. Gishamer to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Lask Linz average 2.5 goals per match at home; Grazer AK 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Lask Linz have generated 2.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lask Linz player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.