WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Tips & Odds
WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz
Match Preview
The model favours Sturm Graz to win against WSG Wattens, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sturm Graz has demonstrated solid form this season, with three wins and one draw in their last five matches. Their consistent performance is highlighted by their ability to secure results, even in challenging fixtures, which positions them well in the league. On the other hand, WSG Wattens has struggled recently, managing just one win in their last five matches. With a form summary of one win, one draw, and three losses, they will need to find a way to turn their fortunes around quickly to compete effectively against a strong opponent like Sturm Graz. Their current struggles may impact their confidence heading into this match. The model gives Sturm Graz a win probability of 65%, suggesting they are the clear favourites. However, WSG Wattens could pose an upset if they manage to improve their form and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Sturm Graz. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Sturm Graz have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Sturm Graz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 3.64 | 3.64 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 2.04 | 1.62 | 2.13 | |
| 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 3.79 | 3.68 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 3.33 | 3.28 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 2.08 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.63 | 3.64 | 1.94 | 1.75 | 2.04 | 1.62 | 2.16 | |
| 3.65 | 3.75 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.58 | 2.14 | |
Betano | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Superbet | 3.55 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.71 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.72 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sturm Graz leads 7-2)In the last 10 encounters between WSG Wattens and Sturm Graz, WSG Wattens has won 2 matches, drawn 1, and Sturm Graz has emerged victorious in 7. This record indicates a clear advantage for Sturm Graz, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure heavy wins, including a 5-0 victory. The scorelines suggest a tendency for Sturm Graz to dominate, with four of their wins coming by a margin of two goals or more. WSG Wattens' last win against Sturm Graz was in December 2025, underscoring a challenging trend for them in this fixture.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WD |
| 2 |  Wolfsberger AC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  SCR Altach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10 | WSG Wattens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 11 |  TSV Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 12 |  Austria Vienna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWSG Wattens have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Sturm Graz 1-1 and lost to Polessya 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 11L from the last 27 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sturm Graz have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Sturm Graz 0-2 and lost to Fenerbahçe 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 12D 5L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWSG Wattens
No reported absences
Sturm Graz
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Ebner has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
WSG Wattens have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Sturm Graz 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sturm Graz have generated 1.72 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sturm Graz player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
