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Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova 2 Prediction, Tips & Odds

Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova 2

1. LigaRegular Season - 18
Leevon / PPK
#3 · 1. Liga
WWWWW
VS
Super Nova 2
#7 · 1. Liga
LWLDL

Match Preview

The model favours Leevon / PPK with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Super Nova 2. Currently sitting in third place, Leevon / PPK has had a strong season with 11 wins from 16 matches, contributing to a total of 36 points. Their goal difference of +9, achieved through 27 goals scored and 18 conceded, indicates a solid offensive and defensive performance. Recent form shows they have won four of their last five matches, highlighting their upward momentum. In contrast, Super Nova 2 finds themselves in seventh place with 23 points from 17 matches, having secured six wins but also suffering six losses. Their goal difference of -1 reveals some defensive vulnerabilities, with 25 goals conceded. Recent performances have been less impressive, with only one win in their last five matches, which may hinder their confidence heading into this fixture. The model output suggests a win probability of around 60% for Leevon / PPK, indicating a strong likelihood of them taking all three points. However, Super Nova 2 could pose a challenge if they manage to tighten their defense and capitalize on any mistakes. For a complete understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains the in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Leevon / PPK leads 1-0)
1 Leevon / PPK0 Draw0 Super Nova 2
26 Apr
Super Nova 2
2-3
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga

Leevon / PPK hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Super Nova 2 wins. The record points to a tie Leevon / PPK have controlled for years, though the draws show Super Nova 2 have at times kept it tight.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
17142171145744
WWDWW
2
Valmiera / BSS
17142148153344
WWWWW
3
Leevon / PPK
17123231201139
WWWWW
4
Riga Mariners
16105134151935
WWDLW
5
JDFS Alberts
1794435241131
WWDDW
6
Mārupe
188192930-125
LWLLW
7
Super Nova 2
186662526-124
DLWLD
12
JFK Ventspils
162591828-1011
LLDLW
13
Smiltene
1724112147-2610
LLWLW
14
Rēzekne FA
1712141348-355
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Leevon / PPKHome
7W1D1L
9 playedGF 20 · GA 122.44 pts/game
Super Nova 2Away
2W4D3L
9 playedGF 13 · GA 151.11 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Leevon / PPKSuper Nova 2
1.83Goals p.g.1.41
1.4Goals conceded p.g.1.47
20%Clean sheets24%
60%Win rate35%
3.23Avg goals in match2.88
Leevon / PPK
Recent Form

Leevon / PPK have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Smiltene 4-2 and beat Rēzekne FA 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 6D 6L from the last 30 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Leevon / PPKAll competitions
23 Aug
Leevon / PPK
4-2
Smiltene
1. Liga
08 Aug
Mārupe
0-1
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
01 Aug
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
25 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Skanste
1. Liga
18 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
10 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-3
Riga
Cup
18
Win
60%
6
Draw
20%
6
Lost
20%
Super Nova 2
Recent Form

Super Nova 2 have won 2 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Super Nova 2 2-1 and beat JFK Ventspils 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 6L from the last 17 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Super Nova 2All competitions
15 Aug
Mārupe
2-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0-2
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0-3
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
25 Jul
JDFS Alberts
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
19 Jul
Riga FC II
2-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
05 Jul
Rīgas FS II
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
6
Win
35%
5
Draw
29%
6
Lost
35%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Leevon / PPK

No reported absences

Super Nova 2

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.