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Riga FC II vs Riga Mariners Prediction, Tips & Odds

Riga FC II vs Riga Mariners

1. LigaRegular Season - 17
Riga FC II
#9 · 1. Liga
LDLWW
VS
Riga Mariners
#4 · 1. Liga
WWDLD

Match Preview

The model favours Riga Mariners to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in fourth place, Riga Mariners have demonstrated strong form this season, achieving a record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 loss. Their goal difference of +19 highlights their effectiveness in both scoring and defending, with 34 goals scored and only 15 conceded. This solid performance has earned them 35 points from 16 matches. On the other hand, Riga FC II finds themselves in eighth position with a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, accumulating 20 points. Their goal difference of -7 indicates struggles at both ends of the pitch, having conceded 30 goals while scoring only 23. Although they have secured two wins in their last five matches, their overall inconsistency could be a significant factor in this matchup. The model output suggests a win probability favouring Riga Mariners, reflecting their superior league position and form. There is a 60% chance of a Riga Mariners victory, with the projected score being 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Riga FC II's ability to pull off an upset, especially if they can exploit any defensive lapses from the Mariners. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 3 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Riga FC II3 Draw0 Riga Mariners
19 Apr
Riga Mariners
2-2
Riga FC II
1. Liga
Jul 25
Riga Mariners
0-0
Riga FC II
1. Liga
Mar 25
Riga FC II
1-1
Riga Mariners
1. Liga

Riga FC II and Riga Mariners have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 0 wins each and 3 draws across the last 3 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
17142171145744
WWDWW
2
Valmiera / BSS
17142148153344
WWWWW
3
Leevon / PPK
17123231201139
WWWWW
4
Riga Mariners
16105134151935
WWDLW
5
JDFS Alberts
1794435241131
WWDDW
6
Mārupe
188192930-125
LWLLW
9
Riga FC II
166282330-720
LDLWW
12
JFK Ventspils
162591828-1011
LLDLW
13
Smiltene
1724112147-2610
LLWLW
14
Rēzekne FA
1712141348-355
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Riga FC IIHome
5W1D2L
8 playedGF 15 · GA 132.00 pts/game
Riga MarinersAway
6W1D1L
8 playedGF 18 · GA 62.38 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Riga FC IIRiga Mariners
1.77Goals p.g.2.59
1.69Goals conceded p.g.1.21
19%Clean sheets34%
42%Win rate59%
3.46Avg goals in match3.79
Riga FC II
Recent Form

Riga FC II have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Riga FC II 2-2 and beat Riga FC II 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 3D 12L from the last 26 games (42% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Riga FC IIAll competitions
08 Aug
JDFS Alberts
2-0
Riga FC II
1. Liga
01 Aug
Riga FC II
2-2
Metta / LU
1. Liga
27 Jul
Valmiera / BSS
3-0
Riga FC II
1. Liga
19 Jul
Riga FC II
2-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
04 Jul
Riga FC II
2-0
Tukums II
1. Liga
27 Jun
Rīgas FS II
1-3
Riga FC II
1. Liga
11
Win
42%
3
Draw
12%
12
Lost
46%
Riga Mariners
Recent Form

Riga Mariners have won 10 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Super Nova 2 0-3 and lost to Leevon / PPK 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 3L from the last 29 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Riga MarinersAll competitions
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4-2
Tukums II
1. Liga
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0-3
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
25 Jul
Riga Mariners
1-1
JFK Ventspils
1. Liga
18 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3-3
BFC Daugavpils
Cup
04 Jul
JDFS Alberts
0-4
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
17
Win
59%
9
Draw
31%
3
Lost
10%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Riga FC II

No reported absences

Riga Mariners

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.