Riga FC II vs Riga Mariners Prediction, Tips & Odds
Riga FC II vs Riga Mariners


Match Preview
The model favours Riga Mariners to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in fourth place, Riga Mariners have demonstrated strong form this season, achieving a record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 loss. Their goal difference of +19 highlights their effectiveness in both scoring and defending, with 34 goals scored and only 15 conceded. This solid performance has earned them 35 points from 16 matches. On the other hand, Riga FC II finds themselves in eighth position with a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, accumulating 20 points. Their goal difference of -7 indicates struggles at both ends of the pitch, having conceded 30 goals while scoring only 23. Although they have secured two wins in their last five matches, their overall inconsistency could be a significant factor in this matchup. The model output suggests a win probability favouring Riga Mariners, reflecting their superior league position and form. There is a 60% chance of a Riga Mariners victory, with the projected score being 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Riga FC II's ability to pull off an upset, especially if they can exploit any defensive lapses from the Mariners. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 3 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)





Riga FC II and Riga Mariners have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 0 wins each and 3 draws across the last 3 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 44 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 44 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 | WWWWW | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 35 | WWDLW | |
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 31 | WWDDW | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 25 | LWLLW | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 20 | LDLWW | |
| 12 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 11 | LLDLW | |
| 13 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 10 | LLWLW | |
| 14 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | -35 | 5 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Riga FC II have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Riga FC II 2-2 and beat Riga FC II 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 3D 12L from the last 26 games (42% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.













Riga Mariners have won 10 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Super Nova 2 0-3 and lost to Leevon / PPK 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 3L from the last 29 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Riga FC II
No reported absences
Riga Mariners
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

