Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts Prediction, Tips & Odds
Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts


Match Preview
The model favours JDFS Alberts to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 5th in the league, JDFS Alberts has shown consistent form this season with 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses from 16 matches, accumulating 28 points. Their goal difference of +9 highlights a solid attacking capability, having scored 32 goals while conceding only 23, making them a formidable opponent. Mārupe, sitting in 6th place with 25 points from 17 matches, has had a more inconsistent season, recording 8 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of +2 indicates a more balanced but less potent attack, with 28 goals scored but 26 conceded. Recent form has not been in their favour, with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches, suggesting they may struggle to maintain momentum against a stronger opponent. The model gives JDFS Alberts a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat is that Mārupe's home advantage could play a significant role, potentially impacting the match's outcome. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to inform these insights.
Head to Head
Last 5 Meetings (JDFS Alberts leads 4-1)









JDFS Alberts hold the edge in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings with 0 draws and 1 Mārupe win. The record points to a tie JDFS Alberts have controlled for years, though the draws show Mārupe have at times kept it tight.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 44 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 44 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 | WWWWW | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 35 | WWDLW | |
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 31 | WWDDW | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 25 | LWLLW | |
| 12 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 11 | LLDLW | |
| 13 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 10 | LLWLW | |
| 14 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | -35 | 5 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Mārupe have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include beat Super Nova 2 2-1 and lost to Leevon / PPK 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 2D 16L from the last 30 games (40% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.













JDFS Alberts have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat JDFS Alberts 1-3 and drew with Tukums II 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 6D 7L from the last 29 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Mārupe
No reported absences
JDFS Alberts
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
