Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II Prediction, Tips & Odds
Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II


Match Preview
The model favours Riga Mariners to win against Rīgas FS II, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Currently positioned fourth in the league, Riga Mariners have demonstrated strong form this season with ten wins, five draws, and only one loss from 16 matches. Their goal-scoring ability is evident, having netted 34 goals while conceding just 15, resulting in a positive goal difference of 19. This solid defensive record, coupled with their attacking prowess, makes them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Rīgas FS II finds themselves in a challenging position, sitting 10th in the standings with just three wins out of 16 matches. Their overall season has been marked by inconsistency, with a negative goal difference of -23, having conceded 45 goals while scoring only 22. Recent form has not been encouraging either, with only one win in their last five matches, highlighting their struggles to compete effectively in the league. The model indicates a win probability of around 65% for Riga Mariners, with a projected score of 2-0. One key market percentage to consider is their likelihood of keeping a clean sheet, which stands at 55%. However, if Rīgas FS II can find a way to exploit any lapses in the Mariners' defence, they could pose a threat. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Riga Mariners leads 3-0)





Riga Mariners hold the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 3 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Rīgas FS II wins. The record points to a tie Riga Mariners have controlled for years, though the draws show Rīgas FS II have at times kept it tight.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 44 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 44 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 | WWWWW | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 35 | WWDLW | |
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 31 | WWDDW | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 25 | LWLLW | |
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 12 | LLLWL | |
| 12 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 11 | LLDLW | |
| 13 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 10 | LLWLW | |
| 14 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | -35 | 5 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Riga Mariners have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tukums II 4-2 and drew with JFK Ventspils 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 3L from the last 29 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Rīgas FS II have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Metta / LU 12-1 and lost to Valmiera / BSS 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 14L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Riga Mariners
No reported absences
Rīgas FS II
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

