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Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Tips & Odds

Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland

SuperligaRegular Season - 4
Lyngby
#11 · Superliga
LDLWW
VS
Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
FC Midtjylland
#3 · Superliga
WWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 63.1%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 65.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.52). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.6% vs 63.1%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Midtjylland to win against Lyngby, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Midtjylland currently sits in second place in the league, having won both of their opening matches this season. They have scored a total of five goals while conceding three, showcasing a strong offensive capability alongside solid defensive performance. Their recent form has been mixed, but two consecutive wins at the start of the season demonstrate their competitive edge. On the other hand, Lyngby finds themselves in seventh place with one point from two matches. They have managed to score four goals but have also conceded five, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Despite a positive recent form with three wins in their last five matches, their current league performance suggests they are still seeking consistency in this campaign. The model assigns a win probability of 65% to FC Midtjylland, reflecting their strong start to the season. However, a potential caveat is Lyngby’s ability to exploit any lapses in Midtjylland’s defensive play, which could lead to an unexpected outcome. For a detailed understanding of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, who utilise an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Lyngby Win28%4.75
Draw20%4.01
FC Midtjylland Win51%1.64
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6061.1%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5961.4%

Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Lyngby 1-1 FC Midtjylland
7.7413.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Midtjylland -0.0
1.2445%

FC Midtjylland have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.74
13.0%
1-2
7.90
12.7%
0-1
8.57
11.7%
0-2
8.88
11.3%
1-3
11.39
8.8%
0-3
12.61
8.0%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Lyngby
-0.0
3.52
FC Midtjylland
+0.0
1.24
Lyngby
-1.5
9.50
FC Midtjylland
+1.5
2.63

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Midtjylland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
4.754.101.641.572.351.572.20
Marathonbet
4.854.051.621.592.311.592.18
Betfair
4.754.201.62
William Hill
4.603.801.651.602.25
Bet365
4.753.901.621.572.351.622.20
1xBet
4.784.051.641.592.311.592.21
888Sport
4.603.901.651.572.301.602.25
Betano
4.904.051.671.622.371.602.25

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
61.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XLyngby or Draw
49%2.22
12Lyngby or FC Midtjylland
80%1.22
X2Draw or FC Midtjylland
72%1.18

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (FC Midtjylland leads 5-4)
4 Lyngby1 Draw5 FC Midtjylland
Feb 25
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lyngby
Superliga
Aug 24
Lyngby
1-2
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Oct 23
FC Midtjylland
2-1
Lyngby
Superliga
Aug 23
Lyngby
4-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
May 23
Lyngby
2-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Apr 23
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lyngby
Superliga
Mar 23
FC Midtjylland
1-3
Lyngby
Superliga
Aug 22
Lyngby
3-3
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Mar 21
Lyngby
2-0
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Sept 20
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lyngby
Superliga

In the last 10 matches between Lyngby and FC Midtjylland, FC Midtjylland has won 5 times, Lyngby has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches; however, FC Midtjylland has a slight edge in victories. Notably, the matches have featured a mix of narrow wins, as seen in the 1-0 and 2-1 results, along with a high-scoring draw of 3-3. Lyngby’s most recent win was a significant 4-1 victory, which highlights their capability to challenge FC Midtjylland despite the overall record.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Brondby
32104137
WWD
2
FC Copenhagen
22006336
WW
3
FC Midtjylland
22005326
WW
4
Randers FC
31113214
WLD
5
FC Nordsjaelland
21102114
WD
6
Viborg
31111104
DLW
10
Sonderjyske
301224-21
DLL
11
Lyngby
301247-31
LDL
12
AC Horsens
301225-31
LLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
LyngbyHome
0W1D0L
1 playedGF 2 · GA 21.00 pts/game
FC MidtjyllandAway
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 3 · GA 23.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
LyngbyFC Midtjylland
2.21Goals p.g.1.84
1.36Goals conceded p.g.1.22
29%Clean sheets34%
57%Win rate53%
3.57Avg goals in match3.06
2.63xG per game1.43
0.07xGA per game-0.11
52%Possession %55%
6.5Shots on target / game4.6
4.5Corners per game6.1
Lyngby
Recent Form

Lyngby have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Lyngby 2-2 and beat Lyngby 6-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 5L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LyngbyAll competitions
09 Aug
Randers FC
2-0
Lyngby
Superliga
01 Aug
Lyngby
2-2
Aarhus
Superliga
26 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3-2
Lyngby
Superliga
18 Jul
Hillerød
0-1
Lyngby
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Osters IF
0-3
Lyngby
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Lyngby
6-3
B 93
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
57%
1
Draw
7%
5
Lost
36%
FC Midtjylland
Recent Form

FC Midtjylland have won 10 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Midtjylland 0-2 and beat Sonderjyske 2-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 6L from the last 32 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC MidtjyllandAll competitions
06 Aug
Bohemians
0-2
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
FC Midtjylland
2-1
AC Horsens
Superliga
30 Jul
FC Midtjylland
0-2
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
26 Jul
Sonderjyske
2-3
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
23 Jul
Beşiktaş
1-0
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa League
17 Jul
FC Midtjylland
4-1
Odense
Friendlies Clubs
17
Win
53%
9
Draw
28%
6
Lost
19%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Lyngby

No reported absences

FC Midtjylland

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.59 (61.4%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (61.1%)
Value Bets
Lyngby Win4.75 (28.3%)
FC Midtjylland Win1.64 (51.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.33 (38.6%)
BTTS No2.22 (38.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.01 (20.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Lyngby have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; FC Midtjylland 6.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

FC Midtjylland have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Midtjylland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.