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Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Tips & Odds

Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland

SuperligaRegular Season - 4
Lyngby
#8 · Superliga
WDWLD
1 - 1
Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
Referee: L. Graagaard
FC Midtjylland
#2 · Superliga
WDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.55
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 (implied 66.1%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 68.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.46). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (68.6% vs 66.1%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Midtjylland to win against Lyngby, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Midtjylland currently sits in second place in the league, having won both of their opening matches this season. They have scored a total of five goals while conceding three, showcasing a strong offensive capability alongside solid defensive performance. Their recent form has been mixed, but two consecutive wins at the start of the season demonstrate their competitive edge. On the other hand, Lyngby finds themselves in seventh place with one point from two matches. They have managed to score four goals but have also conceded five, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Despite a positive recent form with three wins in their last five matches, their current league performance suggests they are still seeking consistency in this campaign. The model assigns a win probability of 65% to FC Midtjylland, reflecting their strong start to the season. However, a potential caveat is Lyngby’s ability to exploit any lapses in Midtjylland’s defensive play, which could lead to an unexpected outcome. For a detailed understanding of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, who utilise an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Lyngby Win34%3.69
Draw21%3.79
FC Midtjylland Win45%1.85
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5161.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5660.0%

Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Lyngby 1-1 FC Midtjylland
7.2713.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Midtjylland -0.0
1.4039%

FC Midtjylland have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.27
13.8%
1-2
7.83
12.8%
0-1
9.26
10.9%
0-2
10.11
10.0%
2-2
11.35
8.9%
2-1
11.62
8.8%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Lyngby
-0.0
2.76
FC Midtjylland
+0.0
1.40
Lyngby
-0.5
3.55
FC Midtjylland
+0.5
1.70
Lyngby
-1.5
7.50
FC Midtjylland
+1.5
3.20

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Midtjylland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.703.851.851.552.401.482.40
Marathonbet
3.683.841.851.532.231.522.33
Betfair
3.703.801.851.572.251.502.40
Pinnacle
3.813.951.931.632.37
SBO
3.533.541.78
William Hill
3.503.701.851.532.38
Bet365
3.753.701.911.532.401.532.38
1xBet
3.663.841.871.532.231.522.37
Unibet
3.904.001.761.522.431.482.43
888Sport
3.603.751.851.572.301.532.38
Betano
3.803.851.901.622.371.552.37
BetVictor
3.603.701.831.562.221.502.40

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XLyngby or Draw
55%1.93
12Lyngby or FC Midtjylland
79%1.23
X2Draw or FC Midtjylland
66%1.25

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (FC Midtjylland leads 5-4)
4 Lyngby1 Draw5 FC Midtjylland
Feb 25
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lyngby
Superliga
Aug 24
Lyngby
1-2
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Oct 23
FC Midtjylland
2-1
Lyngby
Superliga
Aug 23
Lyngby
4-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
May 23
Lyngby
2-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Apr 23
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lyngby
Superliga
Mar 23
FC Midtjylland
1-3
Lyngby
Superliga
Aug 22
Lyngby
3-3
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Mar 21
Lyngby
2-0
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Sept 20
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lyngby
Superliga

In the last 10 matches between Lyngby and FC Midtjylland, FC Midtjylland has won 5 times, Lyngby has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches; however, FC Midtjylland has a slight edge in victories. Notably, the matches have featured a mix of narrow wins, as seen in the 1-0 and 2-1 results, along with a high-scoring draw of 3-3. Lyngby’s most recent win was a significant 4-1 victory, which highlights their capability to challenge FC Midtjylland despite the overall record.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Copenhagen
76012081218
WWWLW
2
FC Midtjylland
6420105514
WDWDW
3
FC Nordsjaelland
641194513
LWWWW
4
Viborg
7412106413
LWWWD
5
Brondby
74121110113
LLWWW
6
AC Horsens
73131312110
WLWWL
8
Lyngby
7133911-26
WDLDL
10
Odense
7124512-75
LDDLL
11
Aarhus
7043913-44
DLLDL
12
Sonderjyske
7016718-111
LLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
LyngbyHome
0W3D0L
3 playedGF 4 · GA 41.00 pts/game
FC MidtjyllandAway
2W2D0L
4 playedGF 7 · GA 42.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
LyngbyFC Midtjylland
2.06Goals p.g.1.87
1.17Goals conceded p.g.1.13
33%Clean sheets36%
56%Win rate56%
3.22Avg goals in match3
2.12xG per game1.64
-0.21xGA per game0.01
48%Possession %57%
4.2Shots on target / game6.2
5.0Corners per game6.7
Lyngby
Recent Form

Lyngby have won 3 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Lyngby 1-1 and drew with Lyngby 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 5L from the last 18 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LyngbyAll competitions
04 Sept
Viborg
0-2
Lyngby
Superliga
30 Aug
Lyngby
1-1
Odense
Superliga
26 Aug
FA 2000
0-1
Lyngby
DBU Pokalen
23 Aug
AC Horsens
2-1
Lyngby
Superliga
16 Aug
Lyngby
1-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
01 Aug
Lyngby
2-2
Aarhus
Superliga
10
Win
56%
3
Draw
17%
5
Lost
28%
FC Midtjylland
Recent Form

FC Midtjylland have won 12 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Midtjylland 0-2 and drew with Silkeborg 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 22W 11D 6L from the last 39 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC MidtjyllandAll competitions
02 Sept
Aarhus
0-2
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
30 Aug
Silkeborg
1-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
27 Aug
HNK Rijeka
1-4
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Aug
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Randers FC
Superliga
20 Aug
FC Midtjylland
2-0
HNK Rijeka
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Aug
Lyngby
1-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
22
Win
56%
11
Draw
28%
6
Lost
15%

Lineups

Confirmed

Lyngby4-4-2Confirmed

2Oskar BuurDEF
25Renzo TytensDEF
24Munashe GaranangaDEF
30Mikkel FischerDEF
10Ísak Snær ÞorvaldssonFWD
18Jens Jakob ThomasenFWD
31Diego KochenGK
7Simon ColynMID
14Lauge SandgravMID
13Casper WintherMID
19Gustav FrauloMID
12David AronssonDEF
6Daniel Freyr KristjanssonDEF
4Cornelius AllenDEF
26Frederik GytkjærFWD
16Asbjorn BøndergaardFWD
1Jonathan ÆgidiusGK
5Oliver HøjerMID
8Mathias HeboMID
17William SteindorssonMID

FC Midtjylland3-4-3Confirmed

5Rasmus KristensenDEF
22Mads Bech SørensenDEF
6Martin ErlićDEF
15Beni JuniorFWD
3Magnus JensenFWD
7Franculino DjúFWD
1Elías ÓlafssonGK
8Philip BillingMID
11Darío OsorioMID
19Pedro BravoMID
20Valdemar ByskovMID
13Adam GabrielDEF
90Friday EtimFWD
10Gue-sung ChoFWD
18Stanley IheanachoFWD
25Nordin BakkerGK
38Julius EmefileMID
27Sofus JohannesenMID
29Kjell WätjenMID
21Denil CastilloMID

Unavailable Players

6 players

Lyngby1

O. Snorre
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

FC Midtjylland5

E. Chilufya
Missing FixtureInactive
Junior Brumado
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Gogorza
Missing FixtureHip Injury
O. Diao
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
V. Bak
Missing FixtureInactive

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (60%)
Both Teams Score1.51 (61.6%)
Value Bets
Lyngby Win3.69 (33.6%)
FC Midtjylland Win1.85 (45.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.32 (40%)
BTTS No2.38 (38.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.79 (21.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

L. Graagaard has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Lyngby have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; FC Midtjylland 6.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

FC Midtjylland have generated 1.64 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 6.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Midtjylland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.