Odense vs AC Horsens Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odense vs AC Horsens
Match Preview
The model favours AC Horsens to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. AC Horsens currently sits in 8th place after two matches, having secured one point with a record of one draw and one loss. Their season has been marked by a total of two goals scored and three conceded, indicating a slight defensive vulnerability that could be exploited. In contrast, Odense finds itself at the bottom of the table in 12th place, having lost their only match without scoring a goal. Their recent form shows two wins and three losses in the last five matches, suggesting a struggle to find consistency. With no points on the board yet, Odense will be eager to turn their fortunes around, but their lack of scoring could be a significant hurdle. The model gives AC Horsens a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. However, a caveat is that if Odense can find their scoring touch and improve their defensive performance, they could upset the expectations. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which details our in-house model's analysis based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Odense have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Odense win as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Odense clean sheets, in line with their 14% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Odense are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Odense vs AC Horsens| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 1.73 | 3.64 | 4.55 | 1.89 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.89 | |
| 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.79 | 3.78 | 4.70 | 1.95 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 1.72 | 3.16 | 4.01 | 2.06 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.33 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.75 | 3.64 | 4.51 | 1.89 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.92 | |
| 1.71 | 3.70 | 4.60 | 1.87 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.89 | |
| 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 1.82 | 3.65 | 4.45 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Odense leads 5-1)In the last 10 encounters between Odense and AC Horsens, Odense has won 5 times, there have been 4 draws, and AC Horsens has won once. This record indicates a strong advantage for Odense, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure narrow victories, such as 1-0 and 2-1 results, alongside a heavy 4-0 win. The frequent draws, particularly the four matches ending level, suggest that while Odense often prevails, AC Horsens has managed to compete closely in several fixtures. AC Horsens’ last win against Odense was in July 2022, indicating a prolonged struggle to overcome their opponents in recent matches.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOdense have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Odense 1-2 and beat Odense 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 12L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
AC Horsens have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat AC Horsens 2-5 and beat Lyseng 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 5L from the last 19 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
6 playersOdense5
AC Horsens1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Kehlet has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Odense have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; AC Horsens 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Odense have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Odense player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
