Nõmme United vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Nõmme United vs Tammeka
Match Preview
The model favours Tammeka to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tammeka currently sits in 6th place, just above Nõmme United in the standings. With 26 points from 18 matches, they have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -5 suggests that while they have struggled defensively, they have been effective enough going forward, scoring 21 goals this season. In contrast, Nõmme United is positioned 7th with 25 points from 21 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses highlights their inconsistency, reflected in a goal difference of -8. Although Nõmme United has shown some improvement recently, notching three wins in their last five matches, their overall season performance has left room for concern, particularly in defensive stability. The model indicates a win probability of 45% for Tammeka, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage suggests that Tammeka is favoured to win based on recent form and standings. However, Nõmme United’s recent form could pose a challenge, and if they can harness their momentum, they may disrupt Tammeka’s plans. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Tammeka leads 4-1)In the last seven encounters between Nõmme United and Tammeka, Tammeka leads with four wins, while Nõmme United has one win and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, but Tammeka has secured three victories by a margin of two goals or more, including a notable 6-0 win in a friendly. Nõmme United's lone victory was a narrow 2-1 win, suggesting that while Tammeka has been more successful, some matches have been closely contested. The most recent draw was a low-scoring affair, highlighting the potential for tight results in their matchups.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 47 | DWLDW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 39 | WLWWL |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 4 |  Paide | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 35 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Vaprus | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Tammeka | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Nõmme United | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 25 | LWWLW |
| 8 |  Laagri | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 | LDLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 17 | 48 | -31 | 16 | WWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNõmme United have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Trans Narva 1-2 and beat Raplamaa 12-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 2D 14L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tammeka have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Vaprus 5-1 and beat Kalju Nomme 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 3D 12L from the last 28 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNõmme United
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.