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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos Prediction, Tips & Odds

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos

Super League 1Regular Season - 1
Olympiakos Piraeus
#6 · Super League 1
LDLLL
VS
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Atromitos
#11 · Super League 1
WWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 (implied 63.7%) for Both Teams Not to Score. Our experts calculate a 66.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.51). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.2% vs 63.7%), driven by the stronger side's ability to control the game and keep a clean sheet. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Olympiakos Piraeus to win against Atromitos, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Olympiakos enters the new season with a strong historical position in the league, having consistently competed for top spots in Super League 1. Although they have not yet played a match this season, their recent form suggests a need for improvement after finishing with just one win in their last five matches. On the other hand, Atromitos comes off a more positive recent run, with three wins in their last five matches. However, they will need to carry that momentum into the new season, as they also start from scratch in terms of points. Their challenge will be to maintain consistency and translate previous successes into the competitive environment of a new season. The model gives Olympiakos a solid win probability based on their established strength in the league, despite the lack of season data. One caveat for this prediction is that both teams are starting fresh, and early-season unpredictability can lead to surprises. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team is dedicated to providing data-driven insights for informed betting choices.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Olympiakos Piraeus Win60%1.23
Draw18%5.38
Atromitos Win23%11.62
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5757.0%

Olympiakos Piraeus have kept a clean sheet in 38% of matches. Atromitos average 1.6 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
2.1050.8%

Olympiakos Piraeus manage games at home, conceding just 0.92 goals per match. Atromitos score 1.61 on the road.

Correct Score
Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 Atromitos
5.5118.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.0
1.0254%

Olympiakos Piraeus have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
5.51
18.2%
1-0
6.11
16.4%
3-0
7.10
14.1%
2-1
8.72
11.6%
1-1
10.41
9.6%
3-1
11.45
8.8%

Our model projects a 2-0 Olympiakos Piraeus win as the most likely scoreline at 18.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Olympiakos Piraeus
-0.0
1.02
Atromitos
+0.0
8.10

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Olympiakos Piraeus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.245.5511.751.732.072.281.54
Betfair
1.225.5011.00
Pinnacle
1.265.6911.001.752.09
SBO
1.205.038.87
William Hill
1.255.0011.002.201.62
Bet365
1.185.5015.001.672.152.381.53
1xBet
1.255.5511.501.732.072.281.56
888Sport
1.255.0011.001.702.052.201.62
Betano
1.255.6013.501.722.182.351.55

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XOlympiakos Piraeus or Draw
77%1.03
12Olympiakos Piraeus or Atromitos
83%1.14
X2Draw or Atromitos
40%3.94

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Olympiakos Piraeus leads 7-0)
7 Olympiakos Piraeus3 Draw0 Atromitos
10 Jan
Atromitos
0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
Nov 25
Olympiakos Piraeus
3-0
Atromitos
Super League 1
Jan 25
Atromitos
1-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
Sept 24
Olympiakos Piraeus
2-0
Atromitos
Super League 1
Dec 23
Atromitos
0-0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
Aug 23
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-0
Atromitos
Super League 1
Jan 23
Atromitos
1-1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
Jan 23
Atromitos
2-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Cup
Dec 22
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-1
Atromitos
Cup
Oct 22
Olympiakos Piraeus
2-0
Atromitos
Super League 1

In the last 10 matches between Olympiakos Piraeus and Atromitos, Olympiakos has won 7 times, with 3 draws and Atromitos yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a generally dominant performance by Olympiakos, highlighted by several heavy wins, including a 4-0 and a 4-1, alongside multiple 2-0 results. The matches have also featured tight contests, as evidenced by the three draws, two of which ended 1-1 and 2-2. Atromitos has not won against Olympiakos in this sample, suggesting a challenging historical matchup for them.

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kalamata
00000000
2
Iraklis 1908
00000000
3
OFI
00000000
4
Panathinaikos
00000000
5
AEK Athens FC
00000000
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
00000000
11
Atromitos
00000000
12
Panetolikos
00000000
13
Kifisia
00000000
14
Volos NFC
00000000

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Olympiakos PiraeusHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game
AtromitosAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Olympiakos PiraeusAtromitos
1.08Goals p.g.1.61
0.92Goals conceded p.g.1
38%Clean sheets43%
35%Win rate43%
2Avg goals in match2.61
1.85xG per game
0.41xGA per game
53%Possession %
4.7Shots on target / game
4.8Corners per game
Olympiakos Piraeus
Recent Form

Olympiakos Piraeus have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 and beat Olympiakos Piraeus 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 9D 8L from the last 26 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Olympiakos PiraeusAll competitions
11 Aug
NEC Nijmegen
2-1
Olympiakos Piraeus
UEFA Champions League
04 Aug
Olympiakos Piraeus
0-0
NEC Nijmegen
UEFA Champions League
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Friendlies Clubs
24 Jul
Antwerp
3-0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
Ajax
1-0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Friendlies Clubs
17 Jul
Olympiakos Piraeus
3-1
Fortuna Sittard
Friendlies Clubs
9
Win
35%
9
Draw
35%
8
Lost
31%
Atromitos
Recent Form

Atromitos have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Larisa 2-1 and beat Kifisia 0-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 6L from the last 23 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AtromitosAll competitions
30 Jul
Atromitos
1-0
Aris
Friendlies Clubs
21 May
Atromitos
6-0
Panserraikos
Super League 1
16 May
Larisa
2-1
Atromitos
Super League 1
12 May
Kifisia
0-3
Atromitos
Super League 1
09 May
Atromitos
1-2
Panetolikos
Super League 1
02 May
Asteras Tripolis
4-2
Atromitos
Super League 1
10
Win
43%
7
Draw
30%
6
Lost
26%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Olympiakos Piraeus

No reported absences

Atromitos

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Olympiakos Piraeus Win1.23 (59.8%)
BTTS No1.57 (57%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.72 (49.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (50.8%)
Both Teams Score2.28 (43%)
Speculative
Draw5.38 (17.5%)
Atromitos Win11.62 (22.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus average 1.1 goals per match at home; Atromitos 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Olympiakos Piraeus have generated 1.85 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Olympiakos Piraeus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score No

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.