Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos Prediction, Tips & Odds
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos
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The model favours Olympiakos Piraeus to win against Atromitos, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Olympiakos enters the new season with a strong historical position in the league, having consistently competed for top spots in Super League 1. Although they have not yet played a match this season, their recent form suggests a need for improvement after finishing with just one win in their last five matches. On the other hand, Atromitos comes off a more positive recent run, with three wins in their last five matches. However, they will need to carry that momentum into the new season, as they also start from scratch in terms of points. Their challenge will be to maintain consistency and translate previous successes into the competitive environment of a new season. The model gives Olympiakos a solid win probability based on their established strength in the league, despite the lack of season data. One caveat for this prediction is that both teams are starting fresh, and early-season unpredictability can lead to surprises. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team is dedicated to providing data-driven insights for informed betting choices.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Olympiakos Piraeus have kept a clean sheet in 45% of matches. Atromitos average 1.6 goals per game.
Olympiakos Piraeus manage games at home, conceding just 0.79 goals per match. Atromitos score 1.56 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.8% probability.
Olympiakos Piraeus have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Olympiakos Piraeus win as the most likely scoreline at 18.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheets, in line with their 45% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Olympiakos Piraeus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.23 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 2.25 | 1.53 | |
| 1.23 | 5.65 | 12.25 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 2.35 | 1.51 | |
| 1.20 | 5.50 | 14.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 1.65 | |
| 1.24 | 6.01 | 12.63 | 1.74 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.24 | 4.94 | 8.87 | 1.75 | 2.09 | — | — | |
| 1.25 | 5.00 | 11.00 | — | — | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 1.25 | 5.50 | 13.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.24 | 5.65 | 12.00 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 2.35 | 1.53 | |
| 1.24 | 5.20 | 10.50 | 1.68 | 2.00 | 2.30 | 1.52 | |
| 1.25 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 1.67 | 2.05 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
Betano | 1.27 | 5.60 | 12.00 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 2.32 | 1.57 |
Superbet | 1.25 | 5.70 | 11.00 | 1.75 | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.50 | 13.00 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Olympiakos Piraeus leads 7-0)In the last 10 matches between Olympiakos Piraeus and Atromitos, Olympiakos has won 7 times, with 3 draws and Atromitos yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a generally dominant performance by Olympiakos, highlighted by several heavy wins, including a 4-0 and a 4-1, alongside multiple 2-0 results. The matches have also featured tight contests, as evidenced by the three draws, two of which ended 1-1 and 2-2. Atromitos has not won against Olympiakos in this sample, suggesting a challenging historical matchup for them.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | LWW |
| 6 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11 | Atromitos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOlympiakos Piraeus have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 and drew with Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 7L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Atromitos have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Atromitos 0-1 and lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 8L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersOlympiakos Piraeus
No reported absences
Atromitos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Tsakalidis has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Tsakalidis to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Atromitos 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Olympiakos Piraeus have generated 1.83 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Olympiakos Piraeus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
