PAOK vs Levadiakos Prediction, Tips & Odds
PAOK vs Levadiakos
Match Preview
The model favours PAOK to win against Levadiakos, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. PAOK enters this match with a slightly stronger recent form, having secured three wins in their last five matches, including two consecutive victories. This positive trend, although from the previous season, suggests they have the momentum needed to start the new campaign effectively. On the other hand, Levadiakos has also shown resilience, with a similar record of three wins in their last five matches. However, their recent form includes a loss, which may indicate potential vulnerabilities as they kick off their season. Starting the season in the lower half of the standings, they will be eager to prove themselves against PAOK. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for PAOK, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is PAOK's likelihood of scoring at least two goals. However, a potential caveat is that both teams are starting their seasons, which can lead to unpredictability in performance. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
PAOK have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 PAOK win as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature PAOK clean sheets, in line with their 35% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. PAOK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
PAOK vs Levadiakos| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.35 | 4.45 | 8.30 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.85 | 1.80 | |
| 1.39 | 4.65 | 7.30 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.93 | 1.76 | |
| 1.33 | 4.75 | 8.00 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.40 | 4.97 | 7.63 | 1.70 | 2.22 | — | — | |
| 1.36 | 4.16 | 6.57 | 1.74 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.00 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.40 | 4.65 | 7.28 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.93 | 1.78 | |
| 1.33 | 4.60 | 8.00 | 1.63 | 2.08 | 1.95 | 1.74 | |
| 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 1.42 | 4.60 | 8.00 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
Superbet | 1.40 | 4.65 | 7.40 | 1.74 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.78 |
BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.50 | 1.71 | 1.99 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (PAOK leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between PAOK and Levadiakos, PAOK has won 8 times, with 1 draw and 1 victory for Levadiakos. The scorelines indicate a strong dominance by PAOK, particularly with several heavy wins, including a 5-0 result and a 3-0 victory. The only draw occurred in 2022, and Levadiakos' most recent win dates back to 2025. Overall, the record highlights a significant advantage for PAOK, showcasing their ability to secure both narrow and comfortable victories against Levadiakos.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | DW |
| 6 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPAOK have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat PAOK 4-0 and drew with PAOK 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 9L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Levadiakos have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Levadiakos 4-0 and lost to Aris Thessalonikis 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 9L from the last 20 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPAOK
No reported absences
Levadiakos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Evangelou has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Evangelou to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
PAOK have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Levadiakos 2.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
PAOK have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. PAOK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
