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Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI Prediction, Tips & Odds

Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI

Super League 1Regular Season - 4
Olympiakos Piraeus
#2 · Super League 1
DWWWD
0 - 1
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
OFI
#7 · Super League 1
DLWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 (implied 61.4%) for Both Teams Not to Score. Our experts calculate a 63.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.56). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.9% vs 61.4%), driven by the stronger side's ability to control the game and keep a clean sheet. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Olympiakos Piraeus to win against OFI, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Olympiakos currently sits in 6th place in the Super League standings, having played one match this season. They secured a victory in their opening game, scoring 1 goal while maintaining a clean sheet. Despite a mixed form in their last five matches, with only one win, their strong defensive record could play a crucial role in this fixture. On the other hand, OFI is positioned 4th and also boasts one win from their opening match, where they scored 2 goals without conceding. Their recent form shows a positive trend, with three wins in their last five matches. This confidence could give them an edge, but they will need to maintain their high scoring rate to challenge Olympiakos effectively. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Olympiakos and highlights the importance of their home advantage. However, a potential pitfall for Olympiakos could be their inconsistent form leading into this match. For further insights into our prediction methodology, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Olympiakos Piraeus Win68%1.20
Draw16%6.14
OFI Win16%12.22
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6354.3%

Olympiakos Piraeus have kept a clean sheet in 45% of matches. OFI average 1.5 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5653.9%

Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 OFI
5.5918.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.5
1.2062%

Olympiakos Piraeus have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
5.59
18.0%
3-0
6.66
15.1%
1-0
6.75
14.9%
2-1
8.50
11.9%
4-0
10.19
9.9%
3-1
10.26
9.9%

Our model projects a 2-0 Olympiakos Piraeus win as the most likely scoreline at 18.0% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheets, in line with their 45% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Olympiakos Piraeus
-0.0
1.02
OFI
+0.0
8.15
Olympiakos Piraeus
-0.5
1.20
OFI
+0.5
8.60

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Olympiakos Piraeus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.185.9013.501.482.552.001.67
Marathonbet
1.196.4013.251.562.172.221.57
Betfair
1.186.0015.001.572.382.301.60
Pinnacle
1.216.9912.391.642.31
SBO
1.205.329.64
William Hill
1.206.0012.002.201.60
Bet365
1.256.2511.001.652.202.201.62
1xBet
1.206.4012.601.562.172.221.59
Unibet
1.186.1012.501.442.552.081.64
888Sport
1.206.0012.001.442.502.001.75
Betano
1.255.9012.001.672.272.271.60
Superbet
1.226.6010.001.512.572.071.70
BetVictor
1.206.0013.001.602.152.251.57

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XOlympiakos Piraeus or Draw
84%1.03
12Olympiakos Piraeus or OFI
84%1.11
X2Draw or OFI
32%4.10

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Olympiakos Piraeus leads 10-0)
10 Olympiakos Piraeus0 Draw0 OFI
14 Mar
OFI
0-3
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
03 Jan
Olympiakos Piraeus
3-0
OFI
Super Cup
Dec 25
Olympiakos Piraeus
3-0
OFI
Super League 1
May 25
OFI
0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Cup
Mar 25
Olympiakos Piraeus
1-0
OFI
Super League 1
Dec 24
OFI
0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
Feb 24
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-0
OFI
Super League 1
Oct 23
OFI
0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
Jan 23
Olympiakos Piraeus
2-1
OFI
Super League 1
Oct 22
OFI
1-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1

In the last 10 matches between Olympiakos Piraeus and OFI, Olympiakos has won all 10 encounters, with no draws or wins for OFI. The scorelines indicate a dominant performance by Olympiakos, with seven matches ending in a two-goal margin or greater, including a 4-0 victory and multiple 3-0 wins. OFI has struggled to find the net, scoring only three goals across these fixtures, while Olympiakos has consistently found the back of the net, including a 1-0 win and a close 2-1 match. OFI has not won against Olympiakos in this streak, highlighting a significant disparity in their head-to-head record.

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AEK Athens FC
321010197
WDW
2
Olympiakos Piraeus
32103127
DWW
3
PAOK
22006156
WW
4
Panetolikos
22005146
WW
5
Aris Thessalonikis
320158-36
LWW
6
Panathinaikos
11002023
W
7
OFI
21013213
LW
12
Kalamata
200225-30
LL
13
Asteras Tripolis
200214-30
LL
14
Levadiakos
200206-60
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Olympiakos PiraeusHome
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 03.00 pts/game
OFIAway
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 20.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Olympiakos PiraeusOFI
1.17Goals p.g.1.5
0.79Goals conceded p.g.1.46
45%Clean sheets32%
41%Win rate43%
1.97Avg goals in match2.96
1.87xG per game0.88
0.74xGA per game0.18
55%Possession %44%
5.5Shots on target / game3.1
6.3Corners per game1.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
Recent Form

Olympiakos Piraeus have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 and drew with Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 7L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Olympiakos PiraeusAll competitions
05 Sept
Volos NFC
1-1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
02 Sept
Larisa
0-4
Olympiakos Piraeus
Cup
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0-1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
22 Aug
Olympiakos Piraeus
1-0
Atromitos
Super League 1
04 Aug
Olympiakos Piraeus
0-0
NEC Nijmegen
UEFA Champions League
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Friendlies Clubs
12
Win
41%
10
Draw
34%
7
Lost
24%
OFI
Recent Form

OFI have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with OFI 0-0 and lost to Aris Thessalonikis 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 10L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: OFIAll competitions
02 Sept
PAOK
0-0
OFI
Cup
30 Aug
Aris Thessalonikis
2-1
OFI
Super League 1
27 Aug
CSKA Sofia
0-2
OFI
UEFA Europa League
23 Aug
OFI
2-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
20 Aug
OFI
3-0
CSKA Sofia
UEFA Europa League
12 Aug
AEK Athens FC
2-2
OFI
Super Cup
12
Win
43%
6
Draw
21%
10
Lost
36%

Lineups

Confirmed

Olympiakos Piraeus4-2-3-1Confirmed

45P. RetsosDEF
27M. PedersenDEF
71N. TiknizyanDEF
5L. PirolaDEF
34A. GonzálezFWD
1S. OrtegaGK
19R. FreulerMID
7K. FortounisMID
20Jota SilvaMID
22ChiquinhoMID
15G. PuertaMID
70S. OnyemaechiDEF
6David CarmoDEF
2M. SaliakasDEF
4Z. SmajlovićDEF
17L. BaileyFWD
90ClaytonFWD
11R. YaremchukFWD
31B. PopovićGK
10Gelson MartinsMID
8Gustavo SáMID
14Dani GarcíaMID
32S. HezzeMID

OFI3-4-2-1Confirmed

43D. NikolaouDEF
5K. KostoulasDEF
15A. PoungourasDEF
19K. KodroFWD
31N. ChristogeorgosGK
14T. AndroutsosMID
24L. DickmannMID
41A. BouchalakisMID
3N. AthanasiouMID
11T. FountasMID
10Aitor CantalapiedraMID
17Borja GonzálezDEF
90Pavlos KenourgiakisDEF
2K. KrizmanićDEF
18T. NussFWD
46G. TheodosoulakisFWD
30T. RomanoFWD
1K. LiloGK
13P. KatsikasGK
6Z. KarachaliosMID
8G. KanellópoulosMID
7T. ChatzigiovanisMID
21G. ApostolakisMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Olympiakos Piraeus

No reported absences

OFI

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Olympiakos Piraeus Win1.20 (68%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (53.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (46.1%)
Both Teams Score2.16 (45.7%)
BTTS No1.63 (54.3%)
Speculative
Draw6.14 (16.2%)
OFI Win12.22 (15.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus have averaged 6.3 corners per match at home; OFI 1.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Olympiakos Piraeus have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Olympiakos Piraeus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score No

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.