Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Prediction, Tips & Odds
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Match Preview
The model favours Panetolikos to win this match against Panathinaikos, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Panetolikos currently sits in second place in the Super League 1 standings with a perfect record of two wins from two matches, scoring five goals and conceding just one. Their strong goal difference of four highlights their effective attacking play and solid defensive structure early in the season. In contrast, Panathinaikos has yet to play their first match this season, which places them at a disadvantage. Their recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins and three draws in their last five matches. However, without any competitive fixtures this season, it is difficult to gauge their current form compared to Panetolikos. The model assigns a win probability of around 65% for Panetolikos, suggesting they have a strong chance of securing another victory. However, a potential caveat is that Panathinaikos may come out with renewed energy and determination in their season opener, which could disrupt Panetolikos's momentum. The full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as it is based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Panathinaikos have kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches. Panetolikos average 1.1 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.5% probability.
Panathinaikos have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Panathinaikos win as the most likely scoreline at 17.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Panathinaikos clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Panathinaikos are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.29 | 4.60 | 10.25 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.60 | |
| 1.22 | 5.90 | 12.00 | 1.60 | 2.29 | 2.15 | 1.61 | |
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 2.20 | 1.65 | |
| 1.25 | 6.12 | 11.99 | 1.61 | 2.38 | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 4.24 | 7.34 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 1.23 | 5.90 | 11.70 | 1.60 | 2.29 | 2.15 | 1.63 | |
Betano | 1.26 | 5.90 | 11.50 | 1.65 | 2.32 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 1.57 | 2.22 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Panathinaikos leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between Panathinaikos and Panetolikos, Panathinaikos has won 8 times, with 1 draw and 1 win for Panetolikos. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided rivalry, with Panathinaikos often securing narrow victories, although there was a notable 5-0 win in their most recent encounter. The draw occurred in 2026, and Panetolikos has not won against Panathinaikos since February 2022, highlighting a significant challenge for them in this matchup. Overall, the data suggests a strong historical advantage for Panathinaikos.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | LWW |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPanathinaikos have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Niki Volos 1-0 and drew with CSKA 1948 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 9D 7L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Panetolikos have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kalamata 4-2 and drew with Estac Troyes 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 13L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPanathinaikos
No reported absences
Panetolikos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Panathinaikos have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Panetolikos 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Panathinaikos have generated 0.90 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Panathinaikos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
