PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Prediction, Tips & Odds
PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord
Match Preview
The model favours Feyenoord to win against PEC Zwolle, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Feyenoord currently sits in third place in the Eredivisie, having played four matches this season, with an unbeaten record of two wins and two draws. They have scored 10 goals while conceding 6, resulting in a positive goal difference of 4. Their recent form is strong, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a consistent ability to find the back of the net. On the other hand, PEC Zwolle is struggling at 14th place with only one win from four matches, having lost three of their last four games. They have scored just 4 goals but have conceded 8, leading to a goal difference of -4. This poor form reflects their difficulties in both attacking and defending, making it challenging for them to gain momentum in the league. The model suggests a win probability of around 60% for Feyenoord, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if PEC Zwolle can improve their defensive organization and capitalize on any mistakes from Feyenoord, they could secure a more favourable result. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.6% probability.
Feyenoord have been the stronger side, winning 59% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Feyenoord win as the most likely scoreline at 12.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Feyenoord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 6.40 | 4.90 | 1.41 | 1.35 | 3.10 | 1.48 | 2.45 | |
| 6.10 | 4.90 | 1.42 | 1.33 | 2.85 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
| 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 6.39 | 5.00 | 1.45 | 1.38 | 3.10 | — | — | |
| 5.42 | 4.56 | 1.38 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.80 | 4.50 | 1.44 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 5.75 | 5.25 | 1.45 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 6.27 | 5.04 | 1.46 | 1.33 | 2.85 | 1.49 | 2.44 | |
| 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.43 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.45 | 2.55 | |
| 5.75 | 4.60 | 1.44 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
Betano | 6.40 | 5.20 | 1.47 | 1.38 | 3.05 | 1.50 | 2.47 |
Superbet | 5.55 | 5.10 | 1.48 | 1.36 | 3.20 | 1.48 | 2.52 |
BetVictor | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Feyenoord leads 10-0)Feyenoord has a dominant head-to-head record against PEC Zwolle, winning all 10 of their last encounters. The scorelines indicate a significant disparity, with Feyenoord often securing heavy victories, such as a 6-1 win and a 5-0 win, suggesting a one-sided rivalry. PEC Zwolle has struggled to keep matches competitive, with only a couple of fixtures ending with a two-goal margin. The absence of any draws further emphasizes Feyenoord's control over this matchup. PEC Zwolle's last win against Feyenoord dates back well beyond these 10 matches, highlighting their ongoing difficulties in this fixture.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  Excelsior | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  Twente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 | LDLL |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPEC Zwolle have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to PEC Zwolle 1-3 and lost to PEC Zwolle 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 13L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Feyenoord have won 6 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Feyenoord 1-3 and beat Cambuur 2-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 4L from the last 27 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
9 playersPEC Zwolle3
Feyenoord6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Bos has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
PEC Zwolle have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Feyenoord 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Feyenoord have generated 2.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 59% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Feyenoord player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
