Preston vs Blackburn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Preston vs Blackburn
Match Preview
The model favours Blackburn to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Blackburn currently sits in 5th place in the Championship, with a solid start to their season, having secured 4 points from their first two matches. Their form has been encouraging, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, showing resilience and the ability to score, netting 4 goals while conceding 3. In contrast, Preston finds themselves in a difficult position at 20th in the standings, having lost both of their opening matches. Their form has been concerning, with no wins and four losses in their last five matches, indicating struggles both defensively and offensively, as they have a goal difference of -3. The pressure is on them to turn their fortunes around against a stronger opponent. According to the model, Blackburn has a win probability of approximately 60%, with the projected score of 2-1 reflecting their current form and position. However, Preston could pose a threat if they manage to find their rhythm and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Blackburn. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model analysing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Preston manage games at home, conceding just 2.00 goals per match. Blackburn score 1.07 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.
Blackburn have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Blackburn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Preston vs Blackburn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 2.49 | 3.16 | 2.82 | 2.05 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.90 | |
| 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.49 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.08 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.75 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.62 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.49 | 3.16 | 2.82 | 2.05 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.93 | |
| 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.06 | 1.72 | 1.77 | 1.93 | |
Betano | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.91 |
BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Blackburn leads 5-2)Blackburn hold the edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings with 3 draws and 2 Preston wins. The record points to a tie Blackburn have controlled for years, though the draws show Preston have at times kept it tight.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | WWDW |
| 2 |  Charlton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Wolves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WLW |
| 12 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 22 |  Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 24 | Preston | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPreston have won 3 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Preston 0-4 and lost to Preston 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 6D 18L from the last 28 games (14% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Blackburn have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Wolves 2-2 and beat Burton Albion 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 10L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPreston
No reported absences
Blackburn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Preston average 1.0 goals per match at home; Blackburn 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Blackburn have generated 0.92 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Blackburn player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
