PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Prediction, Tips & Odds
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord
Match Preview
The model favours PSV Eindhoven to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in second place, PSV has demonstrated impressive form this season with six wins, one draw, and only one loss from eight matches. They have scored 26 goals while conceding 10, giving them a strong goal difference of 16, which highlights their offensive capabilities and solid defensive structure. Feyenoord, on the other hand, leads the league and remains unbeaten with six wins and two draws from their eight fixtures, scoring 27 goals and allowing just seven, resulting in a goal difference of 20. Their recent form includes four wins out of five, showcasing their ability to compete at a high level, but they may face a tougher challenge against PSV’s attacking prowess. According to the model, PSV Eindhoven has a 49.3% chance of winning, with a 22.7% probability of a draw and Feyenoord at 28.1%. One caveat for PSV is the potential for defensive lapses, which could allow Feyenoord to capitalize on counter-attacks. For a detailed explanation of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (5.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 10.7% probability.
PSV Eindhoven have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 PSV Eindhoven win as the most likely scoreline at 10.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. PSV Eindhoven are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.94 | 4.15 | 3.14 | 1.24 | 3.34 | 1.27 | 3.34 | |
| 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.25 | 3.60 | — | — | |
| 2.02 | 4.28 | 3.09 | 1.28 | 3.63 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.54 | 2.73 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.30 | 3.30 | |
| 2.00 | 4.10 | 3.25 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 3.40 | |
| 2.00 | 4.28 | 3.24 | 1.24 | 3.34 | 1.27 | 3.42 | |
Betano | 2.02 | 4.25 | 3.10 | 1.31 | 3.50 | 1.31 | 3.25 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 4.20 | 3.00 | 1.25 | 3.60 | 1.25 | 3.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (PSV Eindhoven leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord, PSV has won 7 times, Feyenoord has 1 win, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a strong advantage for PSV, with several matches ending in comfortable victories, including three separate 3-0 wins. Feyenoord's lone victory came in a knockout competition, highlighting the challenge they face in league play. The presence of two draws suggests some competitive matches, but overall, the results lean heavily in favor of PSV, with Feyenoord last winning against them over a year ago.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 19 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 5 |  Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 17 | LDWWW |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 | DDWLW |
| 16 |  Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 | WDDLL |
| 18 |  Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 2 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPSV Eindhoven have won 13 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat PSV Eindhoven 2-0 and beat PSV Eindhoven 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 10L from the last 36 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Feyenoord have won 9 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Feyenoord 3-4 and beat PEC Zwolle 0-7.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 7D 5L from the last 34 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPSV Eindhoven
No reported absences
Feyenoord
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
PSV Eindhoven have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Feyenoord 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
PSV Eindhoven have generated 2.74 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 6.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. PSV Eindhoven player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
