Rīgas FS II vs JDFS Alberts Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rīgas FS II vs JDFS Alberts
Match Preview
The model favours JDFS Alberts to win against Rīgas FS II, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. JDFS Alberts currently sits in 5th place in the league standings, having accumulated 28 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, showing a strong goal difference of +9. Key statistics include their ability to score 32 goals while conceding only 23, highlighting their balanced approach in both attack and defence. In contrast, Rīgas FS II finds themselves in 11th position with just 12 points, managing only 3 wins out of 16 matches. Their form has been troubling, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 45 goals, which contributes to a goal difference of -23. This significant disparity in both form and standings places Rīgas FS II at a disadvantage heading into this match. The model indicates a strong win probability for JDFS Alberts, reflecting their superior form and league position. However, Rīgas FS II could potentially pull off an upset if they manage to tighten their defence and exploit any lapses from their opponents. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 JDFS Alberts win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. JDFS Alberts are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rīgas FS II vs JDFS Alberts| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 | 1.34 | 2.78 | 1.49 | 2.34 | |
| 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 2.75 | — | — | |
| 5.70 | 4.60 | 1.41 | 1.34 | 2.78 | 1.49 | 2.39 | |
Betano | 5.20 | 4.60 | 1.42 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 1.35 | 2.77 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (JDFS Alberts leads 6-1)In the last nine matches between Rīgas FS II and JDFS Alberts, JDFS Alberts has won six times, Rīgas FS II has won once, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for JDFS Alberts to secure victories with notable margins, including a 3-0 and a 2-0 win, while Rīgas FS II's sole victory was a decisive 4-0. The overall results suggest a somewhat lopsided rivalry, with JDFS Alberts often dominating the encounters. Rīgas FS II last managed to win against JDFS Alberts in June 2024, highlighting their struggle in recent fixtures.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 79 | 16 | 63 | 48 | DWWWD |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 48 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 45 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 44 | WWWWW |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 37 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 25 | LLWLL |
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 12 |  Tukums II | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 54 | -31 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 10 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 19 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 59 | -45 | 5 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRīgas FS II have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat JFK Ventspils 4-1 and lost to JDFS Alberts 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 14L from the last 28 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
JDFS Alberts have won 8 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Mārupe 0-2 and beat Rīgas FS II 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 6D 7L from the last 31 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRīgas FS II
No reported absences
JDFS Alberts
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rīgas FS II average 1.6 goals per match at home; JDFS Alberts 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 58% of their matches and averaging 2.1 goals per game. JDFS Alberts player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.