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Super Nova 2 vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds

Super Nova 2 vs Skanste

1. LigaRegular Season - 17
Super Nova 2
#6 · 1. Liga
LDLWL
1 - 1
Sporta centrs Krasts
Skanste
#9 · 1. Liga
LWDWW

Match Preview

The model favours Super Nova 2 to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Positioned 6th in the league, Super Nova 2 has shown a balanced performance this season with an equal number of goals scored and conceded (23 each). Their form has been mixed recently, with only one win in the last five matches, but they have managed to secure points through draws, indicating resilience. Skanste, sitting 9th in the standings, has had a tougher season. With 30 goals scored but 32 conceded, their defensive issues are evident. Their recent form is concerning, with only two wins in their last five matches and three consecutive losses. This inconsistency has hampered their ability to climb the table and could be a critical factor in this fixture. The model gives Super Nova 2 a win probability of around 55%, suggesting they have a stronger chance of taking all three points. One key market statistic to note is that Super Nova 2 has a solid home advantage. However, if Skanste can capitalize on their attacking strength, they may pose a threat that could disrupt Super Nova 2's plans. For a detailed explanation of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Super Nova 2 Win41%2.35
Draw22%3.54
Skanste Win38%2.47
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.4064.9%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4662.5%

Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Super Nova 2 1-1 Skanste
6.9714.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Super Nova 2 -0.0
1.8235%

Super Nova 2 have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.97
14.4%
2-1
8.75
11.5%
1-2
9.35
11.0%
2-2
9.78
10.4%
1-0
10.83
9.3%
0-1
11.67
8.7%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Super Nova 2
-0.0
1.82
Skanste
+0.0
1.85

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Super Nova 2 are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Super Nova 2 vs Skanste
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.303.602.45
Marathonbet
2.383.642.401.432.461.392.63
Betfair
2.303.752.451.452.551.402.75
Pinnacle
2.423.292.461.462.43
William Hill
2.403.302.451.402.62
Bet365
2.153.702.701.532.38
1xBet
2.383.642.401.432.461.392.69
Betano
2.373.552.45
Superbet
2.423.402.501.482.401.432.62

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
82.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
62.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
42.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XSuper Nova 2 or Draw
62%1.44
12Super Nova 2 or Skanste
78%1.22
X2Draw or Skanste
59%1.49

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Super Nova 21 Draw0 Skanste
19 Apr
Skanste
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga

The head-to-head record between Super Nova 2 and Skanste stands at one draw, with neither team securing a win. Their only encounter ended in a 1-1 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match. With no wins for either side, this suggests a balanced matchup, though the single fixture does not provide a comprehensive view of their competitive history. As it stands, both teams will be looking to break the deadlock in future encounters.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
19153179166348
DWWWD
2
Valmiera / BSS
19153156183848
DWWWW
3
Leevon / PPK
19143236211545
WWWWW
4
Riga Mariners
19135145172844
WWWWW
5
JDFS Alberts
19114440261437
WWWWD
6
Super Nova 2
206772830-225
DLDLW
9
Skanste
1972103938123
LWDWW
12
Tukums II
1833122354-3112
LLLDL
13
Smiltene
1924132356-3310
LLLLW
14
Rēzekne FA
2013161661-456
DLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Super Nova 2Home
4W2D3L
9 playedGF 12 · GA 111.56 pts/game
SkansteAway
2W1D6L
9 playedGF 16 · GA 220.78 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Super Nova 2Skanste
1.37Goals p.g.1.83
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.77
21%Clean sheets17%
32%Win rate40%
2.84Avg goals in match3.6
Super Nova 2
Recent Form

Super Nova 2 have won 4 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Super Nova 2 1-1 and lost to Super Nova 2 0-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 7L from the last 19 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Super Nova 2All competitions
29 Aug
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1-1
Skanste
1. Liga
15 Aug
Mārupe
2-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0-2
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0-3
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
25 Jul
JDFS Alberts
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
6
Win
32%
6
Draw
32%
7
Lost
37%
Skanste
Recent Form

Skanste have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Skanste 3-2 and drew with Super Nova 2 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 13L from the last 30 games (40% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: SkansteAll competitions
07 Sept
Riga FC II
3-2
Skanste
1. Liga
30 Aug
Skanste
6-2
Tukums II
1. Liga
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1-1
Skanste
1. Liga
08 Aug
Skanste
5-1
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
01 Aug
Skanste
4-2
Mārupe
1. Liga
25 Jul
Leevon / PPK
2-1
Skanste
1. Liga
12
Win
40%
5
Draw
17%
13
Lost
43%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Super Nova 2

No reported absences

Skanste

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.46 (62.5%)
Both Teams Score1.40 (64.9%)
Value Bets
Super Nova 2 Win2.35 (40.6%)
Skanste Win2.47 (37.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.45 (37.5%)
BTTS No2.66 (35.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.54 (21.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Super Nova 2 average 1.4 goals per match at home; Skanste 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Super Nova 2 have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 32% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Super Nova 2 player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.