Super Nova 2 vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds
Super Nova 2 vs Skanste
Match Preview
The model favours Super Nova 2 to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Positioned 6th in the league, Super Nova 2 has shown a balanced performance this season with an equal number of goals scored and conceded (23 each). Their form has been mixed recently, with only one win in the last five matches, but they have managed to secure points through draws, indicating resilience. Skanste, sitting 9th in the standings, has had a tougher season. With 30 goals scored but 32 conceded, their defensive issues are evident. Their recent form is concerning, with only two wins in their last five matches and three consecutive losses. This inconsistency has hampered their ability to climb the table and could be a critical factor in this fixture. The model gives Super Nova 2 a win probability of around 55%, suggesting they have a stronger chance of taking all three points. One key market statistic to note is that Super Nova 2 has a solid home advantage. However, if Skanste can capitalize on their attacking strength, they may pose a threat that could disrupt Super Nova 2's plans. For a detailed explanation of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Super Nova 2 have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Super Nova 2 are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Super Nova 2 vs Skanste| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.45 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.64 | 2.40 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.39 | 2.63 | |
| 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.45 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.42 | 3.29 | 2.46 | 1.46 | 2.43 | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.45 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.62 | |
| 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.70 | 1.53 | 2.38 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.64 | 2.40 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.39 | 2.69 | |
Betano | 2.37 | 3.55 | 2.45 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.40 | 1.43 | 2.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Super Nova 2 and Skanste stands at one draw, with neither team securing a win. Their only encounter ended in a 1-1 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match. With no wins for either side, this suggests a balanced matchup, though the single fixture does not provide a comprehensive view of their competitive history. As it stands, both teams will be looking to break the deadlock in future encounters.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valmiera / BSS | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 44 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Metta / LU | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 69 | 14 | 55 | 41 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 36 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 35 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 31 | WWDDW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 25 | LWLLW |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 9 | Skanste | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 19 | WWLLL |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 46 | -33 | 5 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSuper Nova 2 have won 4 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Super Nova 2 0-3 and beat Super Nova 2 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 6L from the last 17 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Skanste have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Leevon / PPK 2-1 and lost to Metta / LU 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 12L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSuper Nova 2
No reported absences
Skanste
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Super Nova 2 average 1.4 goals per match at home; Skanste 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Super Nova 2 have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 35% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Super Nova 2 player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.