Remo vs Flamengo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Remo vs Flamengo
Match Preview
The model favours Flamengo to win this match against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Flamengo currently sits in second place in the Serie A standings, having played 23 matches this season. With 13 wins, 6 draws, and only 4 losses, they have accumulated 45 points, scoring 45 goals while conceding just 21. Their goal difference of +24 highlights their strong offensive and defensive performances, making them a formidable opponent. In contrast, Remo is struggling in 18th place, with a record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses from 24 matches, resulting in just 23 points. Their recent form has not been promising, as they have failed to secure a win in their last five matches, recording 2 draws and 3 losses. With 28 goals scored and 39 conceded, their -11 goal difference reflects their difficulties both in attack and defence this season. The model output indicates a win probability heavily in favour of Flamengo, with a projected score of 2-0. One key market percentage suggests that Flamengo has around a 65% chance of winning this fixture. However, a caveat to consider is that if Remo can find their scoring touch or improve defensively, they could pose a challenge. For a thorough understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team elaborates on our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Flamengo have been the stronger side, winning 65% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Flamengo win as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Flamengo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Remo vs Flamengo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.58 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 1.75 | 2.04 | 1.76 | 1.93 | |
| 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 | 1.65 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.57 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 5.25 | 3.90 | 1.57 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 5.39 | 4.22 | 1.62 | 1.78 | 2.08 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 5.60 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Flamengo leads 1-0)Flamengo hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Remo wins. The record points to a tie Flamengo have controlled for years, though the draws show Remo have at times kept it tight.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 51 | WLDWL |
| 2 | Flamengo | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 48 | WLWWD |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 45 | DWDWD |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 5 |  Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 39 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 37 | WDDDD |
| 19 | Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 23 | LDDLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 14 | WDLDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRemo have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Remo 2-2 and lost to Remo 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 14D 14L from the last 38 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Flamengo have won 12 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Cruzeiro 2-1 and beat Mirassol 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 28W 9D 6L from the last 43 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRemo
No reported absences
Flamengo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
L. Casagrande has averaged 3.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Remo have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Flamengo 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Flamengo have generated 1.49 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 65% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Flamengo player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
