Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
Match Preview
The model favours Sarpsborg 08 FF to win against KFUM Oslo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sarpsborg currently sits in 9th place in the league, having secured 24 points from 19 matches with a record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. Their season has been marked by a slightly negative goal difference of -3, but they have shown resilience in their recent form, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. On the other hand, KFUM Oslo finds themselves in 14th place, just above the relegation zone, with 19 points from the same number of games. They have a worse goal difference of -13, reflecting their struggles defensively, having conceded 33 goals this season. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses, indicating some inconsistency that could hinder their performance in this matchup. The model gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a strong win probability, but it's essential to note that a lack of defensive solidity could allow KFUM Oslo to capitalize on any mistakes. The full method, which includes expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this in-house model to provide insights into the fixture.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Sarpsborg 08 FF have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 FF win as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Sarpsborg 08 FF clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Sarpsborg 08 FF are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.45 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.55 | 4.40 | 6.07 | 1.56 | 2.51 | — | — | |
| 1.53 | 4.05 | 4.84 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.57 | 4.31 | 5.59 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.25 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Sarpsborg 08 FF leads 4-2)In the last eight matches between Sarpsborg 08 FF and KFUM Oslo, Sarpsborg has won 4 times, KFUM Oslo has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive rivalry, with several narrow victories, such as the 2-1 and 1-0 results. However, Sarpsborg has also achieved some dominant wins, including a notable 5-2 victory. KFUM Oslo's last win came in April 2024, suggesting a challenging period for them since then, while the draw in their most recent encounter adds to the parity in their matchups.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 | DDLLD |
| 14 | KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSarpsborg 08 FF have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 and beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 8L from the last 28 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
KFUM Oslo have won 1 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to KFUM Oslo 4-1 and beat IF Ready 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 16L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSarpsborg 08 FF4-4-2Confirmed
KFUM Oslo3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSarpsborg 08 FF
No reported absences
KFUM Oslo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jorgen Haugen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Jorgen Haugen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; KFUM Oslo 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sarpsborg 08 FF have generated 1.29 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sarpsborg 08 FF player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
