Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Teda Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Teda
Match Preview
The model favours Shandong Luneng to win against Tianjin Teda, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Shandong Luneng currently sits in 6th place with 24 points from 19 matches, showcasing a competitive season despite some inconsistency. Their goal difference of +1 indicates they have scored slightly more than they have conceded, but their recent form has been concerning with only one win in their last five matches. On the other hand, Tianjin Teda is positioned 14th with 14 points, having secured six wins, six draws, and seven losses this season. Their goal difference of +4 suggests they have been defensively sound, conceding fewer goals than they have scored. They come into this match with a more positive recent form, having won three out of their last five matches, which could boost their confidence going into this fixture. According to the model, Shandong Luneng has a win probability of 55%, while Tianjin Teda sits at 20%. However, a key market indicator shows that the odds are relatively tight, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome. One caveat for Shandong Luneng is their recent dip in form, which could allow Tianjin Teda to capitalize if they continue their upward trend. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
Shandong Luneng have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Shandong Luneng are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Teda| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.88 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.42 | 2.50 | |
| 1.93 | 3.65 | 3.48 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.44 | 2.53 | |
| 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 2.03 | 3.91 | 3.44 | 1.53 | 2.58 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.34 | 2.97 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.40 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.99 | 3.76 | 3.58 | 1.52 | 2.48 | 1.44 | 2.58 | |
| 1.82 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.54 | 2.28 | 1.50 | 2.33 | |
| 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.52 | 2.45 | 1.45 | 2.57 |
Superbet | 1.97 | 3.65 | 3.35 | 1.51 | 2.40 | 1.46 | 2.52 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Shandong Luneng leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Shandong Luneng and Tianjin Teda, Shandong Luneng has won 7 times, with 2 draws and 1 victory for Tianjin Teda. The scorelines indicate a strong tendency towards Shandong Luneng, including four matches with a margin of three goals or more, highlighting their dominance. While Tianjin Teda managed a narrow 1-0 win in 2025, they have not won since, and the majority of matches have been tightly contested, with several ending in low-scoring draws. Overall, Shandong Luneng's record suggests a clear historical advantage in this rivalry.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 | Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 30 | DLLLD |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonShandong Luneng have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Shandong Luneng 1-2 and drew with Shandong Luneng 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 8L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tianjin Teda have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 and beat Shanghai Shenhua 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 11L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedShandong Luneng4-4-2Confirmed
Tianjin Teda5-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersShandong Luneng
No reported absences
Tianjin Teda
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shandong Luneng have averaged 3.2 corners per match at home; Tianjin Teda 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shandong Luneng have generated 1.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shandong Luneng player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
