Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Match Preview
The model favours Sheriff Tiraspol to win against Maccabi Tel Aviv, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Sheriff has shown solid form lately, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistency suggests they have been effective in both attack and defence, which will be crucial in a knockout tie. On the other side, Maccabi Tel Aviv has had a mixed bag of results recently, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have demonstrated the ability to secure victories, their one defeat indicates potential vulnerabilities that Sheriff could exploit. The model indicates a strong probability of victory for Sheriff, reflecting their recent performance. However, Maccabi's ability to counterattack and secure results means they cannot be underestimated. As always, unexpected factors could influence the match outcome, such as injuries or tactical changes. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates matches based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Sheriff Tiraspol manage games at home, conceding just 0.95 goals per match. Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.4% probability.
Maccabi Tel Aviv have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Maccabi Tel Aviv are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.15 | 3.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.91 | 1.77 | |
| 3.08 | 3.28 | 2.26 | 2.31 | 1.59 | 1.95 | 1.74 | |
| 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.93 | 3.21 | 2.21 | 2.31 | 1.55 | — | — | |
| 3.02 | 2.89 | 2.11 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 3.06 | 3.30 | 2.28 | 2.31 | 1.59 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
| 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 2.28 | 1.53 | 2.02 | 1.68 | |
Betano | 3.00 | 3.15 | 2.32 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Superbet | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 2.27 | 1.59 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.38 | 2.21 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Maccabi Tel Aviv leads 1-0)In their only previous encounter, Maccabi Tel Aviv defeated Sheriff Tiraspol with a score of 1-0. This narrow victory suggests a tightly contested match, with neither side able to dominate. Since this is the sole fixture between the two teams, it does not indicate a clear trend or pattern in their head-to-head history. Sheriff Tiraspol has yet to register a win against Maccabi Tel Aviv, making their next meeting significant for potential changes in their record.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSheriff Tiraspol have won 6 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dacia-Buiucani 1-0 and lost to FC ST. Gallen 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 5L from the last 19 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 4 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-3 and beat Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 2D 4L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSheriff Tiraspol
No reported absences
Maccabi Tel Aviv
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Athanassiou has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Maccabi Tel Aviv have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Maccabi Tel Aviv player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
