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Tromso vs Hradec Králové Prediction, Tips & Odds

Tromso vs Hradec Králové

UEFA Europa League2nd Qualifying Round
Tromso
WWWLL
0 - 1
Romssa Arena
Referee: S. Levi
Hradec Králové
LWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Tromso to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over Hradec Králové make Tromso the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.59
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.41 (implied 71.2%) for Tromso to Win. Our experts calculate a 73.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.36). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (73.7% vs 71.2%), driven by Tromso's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Tromso to win this match against Hradec Králové, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tromso comes into this fixture with a mixed recent form, having secured two wins, two draws, and suffered one loss in their last five matches. This record indicates a degree of resilience, particularly at home, where they tend to perform better. On the other hand, Hradec Králové has shown slightly stronger form recently, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This positive trend might boost their confidence heading into this important qualifier, but they will need to translate that into a strong performance away from home to challenge Tromso effectively. According to the model, Tromso has a win probability that reflects their slight edge based on recent form and home advantage. However, one caveat to consider is the potential for Hradec Králové to exploit any defensive lapses from Tromso, which could lead to an upset. The full methodology, which incorporates expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as detailed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Tromso Win61%1.41
Draw20%4.38
Hradec Králové Win19%7.26
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6352.5%

Tromso have kept a clean sheet in 47% of matches. Hradec Králové average 1.6 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8650.5%

Tromso manage games at home, conceding just 0.97 goals per match. Hradec Králové score 1.60 on the road.

Correct Score
Tromso 1-0 Hradec Králové
5.6018.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Tromso -1.5
2.1041%

Tromso have been the stronger side, winning 59% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.60
18.0%
2-0
5.66
17.7%
2-1
8.02
12.7%
1-1
8.18
12.4%
3-0
8.40
12.0%
0-0
10.04
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-0 Tromso win as the most likely scoreline at 18.0% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Tromso clean sheets, in line with their 47% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Tromso
-0.0
1.14
Hradec Králové
+0.0
5.08
Tromso
-0.5
1.55
Hradec Králové
+0.5
4.85
Tromso
-1.5
2.10
Hradec Králové
+1.5
13.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tromso are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Tromso vs Hradec Králové
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.374.409.001.951.832.201.57
Marathonbet
1.374.608.001.861.912.101.64
Betfair
1.364.608.001.901.872.201.57
Pinnacle
1.404.597.611.881.95
SBO
1.483.555.222.001.78
William Hill
1.364.207.002.151.62
Bet365
1.384.506.501.851.952.201.62
1xBet
1.384.607.951.861.912.101.66
Unibet
1.414.506.501.891.782.101.62
Betano
1.404.507.601.881.902.181.62
Superbet
1.593.905.302.021.742.071.68
BetVictor
1.364.608.501.811.862.101.65

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
28.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTromso or Draw
81%1.08
12Tromso or Hradec Králové
80%1.17
X2Draw or Hradec Králové
39%2.80

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Tromso1 Draw0 Hradec Králové
23 Jul
Tromso
0-0
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League

The head-to-head record between Tromso and Hradec Králové shows 0 wins for Tromso, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Hradec Králové. Their only encounter ended in a goalless draw, indicating a tightly contested match with no clear advantage for either side. This scoreline suggests that both teams struggled to break the deadlock, resulting in a low-scoring outcome. Since there has only been one match played, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the absence of victories for either team highlights a balanced rivalry thus far.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
TromsoHradec Králové
1.78Goals p.g.1.6
0.97Goals conceded p.g.0.95
47%Clean sheets30%
59%Win rate60%
2.75Avg goals in match2.55
1.32xG per game1.08
-0.19xGA per game-0.18
49%Possession %23%
5.0Shots on target / game2.0
4.7Corners per game1.0
Tromso
Recent Form

Tromso have won 12 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat CFR 1907 Cluj 2-1 and lost to Hradec Králové 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 19W 6D 7L from the last 32 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TromsoAll competitions
13 Aug
Tromso
2-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
06 Aug
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-5
Tromso
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Aalesund
2-6
Tromso
Eliteserien
30 Jul
Hradec Králové
3-1
Tromso
UEFA Europa League
23 Jul
Tromso
0-1
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1-4
Tromso
Eliteserien
19
Win
59%
6
Draw
19%
7
Lost
22%
Hradec Králové
Recent Form

Hradec Králové have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Hradec Králové 1-0 and drew with Bohemians 1905 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 4L from the last 20 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Hradec KrálovéAll competitions
13 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
09 Aug
Hradec Králové
2-1
Baník Ostrava
Czech Liga
06 Aug
Hradec Králové
0-1
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
02 Aug
Bohemians 1905
0-0
Hradec Králové
Czech Liga
30 Jul
Hradec Králové
3-1
Tromso
UEFA Europa League
26 Jul
Hradec Králové
2-1
Pardubice
Czech Liga
12
Win
60%
4
Draw
20%
4
Lost
20%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tromso

No reported absences

Hradec Králové

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Tromso Win1.41 (61.4%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.90 (49.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.86 (50.5%)
Both Teams Score2.14 (47.5%)
BTTS No1.63 (52.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.38 (19.6%)
Hradec Králové Win7.26 (19%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. Levi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. Levi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Tromso have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Hradec Králové 1.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Tromso have generated 1.32 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 59% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tromso player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Tromso to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.