Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC
Match Preview
The model favours Twente to win this match against Ferencvarosi TC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Twente has shown strong performance recently, winning four out of their last five matches, which indicates a solid run of form as they head into this crucial fixture. Their ability to secure victories, particularly at home, will be a significant advantage in this matchup. On the other hand, Ferencvarosi TC is also in good form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. This resilience suggests they can pose a challenge to Twente, especially with their recent performances indicating a strong attacking presence. However, they will need to elevate their game in this away fixture if they are to compete effectively. The model indicates that Twente has a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. A potential caveat for Twente is the pressure of performing at home, which could lead to nervousness if the match becomes tight. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.3% probability.
Twente have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Twente win as the most likely scoreline at 15.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Twente clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Twente are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.52 | 3.95 | 6.25 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.53 | 4.15 | 5.60 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 1.89 | |
| 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 1.53 | 4.36 | 5.58 | 1.74 | 2.09 | — | — | |
| 1.52 | 3.53 | 4.84 | 1.91 | 1.87 | — | — | |
| 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.55 | 4.15 | 5.49 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 1.92 | |
| 1.52 | 4.35 | 5.25 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.77 | 1.90 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 4.15 | 5.40 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.83 | 1.88 |
Superbet | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.82 | 1.92 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.75 | 1.72 | 1.97 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Ferencvarosi TC leads 1-0)In their only previous meeting, Ferencvarosi TC won against Twente with a score of 2-1. This result indicates a competitive match, but it also shows that Ferencvarosi TC has the upper hand with a victory. The match was closely contested, resulting in a narrow win for Ferencvarosi TC. Since this is the only fixture between the two sides, there is limited historical context to draw from, but it suggests that Twente has yet to find success against this opponent.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonTwente have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Twente 6-0 and lost to Twente 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 6L from the last 30 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Ferencvarosi TC have won 7 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 and lost to Paks 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 5D 5L from the last 29 games (66% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTwente4-2-1-3Confirmed
Ferencvarosi TC4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersTwente
No reported absences
Ferencvarosi TC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Kos has averaged 0.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Twente have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Ferencvarosi TC 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Twente have generated 1.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 8.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Twente player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
