Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United
Match Preview
The model favours Shooting Stars to win against Nasarawa United, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Shooting Stars currently sit in 15th place, having played only two matches this season. With one win and one loss, they have scored three goals while conceding four, resulting in a goal difference of -1. Their form shows signs of improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, indicating they are starting to find their rhythm. On the other hand, Nasarawa United is positioned slightly higher in 13th place but has played four matches, recording one win, one draw, and two losses. They have scored four goals and conceded six, leaving them with a goal difference of -2. Their recent form has been less encouraging, with only one win in their last five matches, suggesting they may struggle to build momentum in this fixture. The model gives Shooting Stars a win probability of 55%, while Nasarawa United has a 25% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 20%. One caveat to consider is that if Shooting Stars fail to convert their chances, or if Nasarawa United finds an unexpected surge in performance, the outcome could shift. The full method used in this analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Shooting Stars have kept a clean sheet in 26% of matches. Nasarawa United average 1.1 goals per game.
Shooting Stars manage games at home, conceding just 1.26 goals per match. Nasarawa United score 1.13 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 22.9% probability.
Shooting Stars have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Shooting Stars win as the most likely scoreline at 22.9% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Shooting Stars clean sheets, in line with their 26% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Shooting Stars are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.54 | 3.25 | 6.05 | 2.31 | 1.52 | 2.29 | 1.51 | |
| 1.55 | 3.40 | 5.50 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.54 | 3.09 | 4.84 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.60 | 3.10 | 5.50 | — | — | 2.30 | 1.53 | |
| 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 | — | — | |
| 1.59 | 3.90 | 6.10 | 2.27 | 1.62 | 2.29 | 1.53 | |
Betano | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.60 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.20 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Shooting Stars leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between Shooting Stars and Nasarawa United shows Shooting Stars winning 5 matches, drawing 1, and Nasarawa United winning 4. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a mix of narrow victories and a single draw. Notably, several matches ended with a score of 2-0, suggesting that when one team wins, they often do so decisively. The last win for Nasarawa United against Shooting Stars was in 2025, indicating a slight recent dominance by Shooting Stars in these encounters. Overall, the matches have been closely contested, reflecting a balanced competition.
NPFL Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 17 | DDWDD |
| 2 |  Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWDDD |
| 4 |  Plateau United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 5 |  Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 | DDLDW |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | WWDWL |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 | WLDDL |
| 18 |  Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 | DLWWD |
| 19 |  Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | LDLDL |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 2 | LLDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2027 SeasonShooting Stars have won 13 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ranchers Bees 3-1 and drew with Kano Pillars 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 13L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Nasarawa United have won 2 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Nasarawa United 0-2 and drew with Shooting Stars 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 12L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShooting Stars
No reported absences
Nasarawa United
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shooting Stars average 1.2 goals per match at home; Nasarawa United 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shooting Stars have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 45% of their matches and averaging 1.2 goals per game. Shooting Stars player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.