SK Beveren vs Lommel United Prediction, Tips & Odds
SK Beveren vs Lommel United
Match Preview
The model favours SK Beveren to win this match against Lommel United, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite their mid-table position, SK Beveren has shown flashes of potential this season. Currently sitting in 9th place with 9 points from 7 matches, they have recorded 3 wins but face challenges with 4 losses. A key statistic is their goal difference of -4, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that they will need to address. Their recent form, with two wins in the last five matches, indicates they are capable of bouncing back after setbacks. On the other hand, Lommel United occupies the 12th spot in the standings with 8 points from 7 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. They have scored 6 goals while conceding 8, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Although they managed to secure points in their last two matches, they still struggle to find a consistent rhythm, which may hinder their performance against a determined Beveren side. The model suggests SK Beveren has a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a possible caveat is Beveren's defensive frailties, which could allow Lommel to capitalize on any mistakes. The full methodology behind this prediction, which leverages expected goals and actual results across the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
SK Beveren have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. SK Beveren are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SK Beveren vs Lommel United| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.74 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.83 | 4.03 | 4.15 | 1.58 | 2.48 | — | — | |
| 1.72 | 3.57 | 3.74 | 1.61 | 2.29 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.90 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.79 | 4.11 | 4.11 | 1.58 | 2.40 | 1.52 | 2.37 | |
Betano | 1.82 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (SK Beveren leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between SK Beveren and Lommel United, SK Beveren has won 4 times, Lommel United has won 2 times, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow victories. The highest-scoring match saw Lommel United win 3-2, while SK Beveren's victories have often been by just a single goal margin, highlighting a tendency for closely contested encounters. Lommel United last won against SK Beveren in November 2022, suggesting they may be seeking to regain an edge in this matchup.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 22 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 20 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 6 |  KVC Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 10 | Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WDLLW |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 18 |  Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSK Beveren have won 7 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Habay-la-Neuve 3-0 and lost to Lommel United 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 1D 8L from the last 20 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lommel United have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lommel United 4-1 and beat SK Beveren 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 10L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSK Beveren4-2-3-1Confirmed
Lommel United4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSK Beveren
No reported absences
Lommel United
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
SK Beveren have averaged 2.0 corners per match at home; Lommel United 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SK Beveren have generated 0.80 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SK Beveren player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
