St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids Prediction, Tips & Odds
St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids
Match Preview
The model favours St. Louis City to win this match against Colorado Rapids, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. St. Louis City currently sits in 12th place in the standings with 16 points from 14 matches. Their recent form shows a marked improvement, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, suggesting they are finding their rhythm. This uptick in performance could be critical as they aim to climb the table. On the other hand, Colorado Rapids are positioned just above St. Louis in 11th place, also with 16 points but from 15 matches. Their season has been less consistent, highlighted by five wins but overshadowed by nine losses. Their recent form of two wins, one draw, and two losses indicates they are struggling to maintain momentum, which could be a concern as they face a resurgent St. Louis side. The model gives St. Louis City a win probability of around 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to note is that the odds for a St. Louis City victory are currently trending positively. However, a potential caveat is that if Colorado can exploit defensive weaknesses, they could pull off an upset. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
St. Louis City have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. St. Louis City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.02 | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.35 | |
| 1.92 | 3.72 | 3.54 | 1.64 | 2.21 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.00 | 3.87 | 3.61 | 1.68 | 2.28 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.58 | 3.24 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 1.58 | 2.28 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
Betano | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Superbet | 2.02 | 3.75 | 3.45 | 1.66 | 2.25 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Colorado Rapids leads 3-1)In the last six matches between St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids, Colorado has won three times, St. Louis has won once, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Colorado to assert dominance, particularly with two heavy wins of 4-1 and 3-0. The matches have also shown a mix of tight contests, as seen in the 0-0 draw and the 1-1 draw. St. Louis City’s most recent victory was a 2-0 win, but prior to that, they had struggled against Colorado, highlighting a challenging head-to-head dynamic.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 33 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 39 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 37 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 33 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 33 | DLWLL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 29 | WDLWL |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 19 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 14 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSt. Louis City have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sporting Kansas City 3-2 and beat Austin 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 8L from the last 23 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Colorado Rapids have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Real Salt Lake 2-1 and beat Minnesota United FC 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 13L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
7 playersSt. Louis City4
Colorado Rapids3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Bensalah, Nabil has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Bensalah, Nabil to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
St. Louis City have averaged 5.7 corners per match at home; Colorado Rapids 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
St. Louis City have generated 1.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. St. Louis City player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
