Telstar vs Feyenoord Prediction, Tips & Odds
Telstar vs Feyenoord
Match Preview
The model favours Feyenoord to win against Telstar, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Feyenoord currently sits in second place in the Eredivisie, having played seven matches this season with an impressive record of five wins and two draws. They have scored 25 goals, showcasing a potent attacking line, while conceding only seven, resulting in a goal difference of +18. This strong performance reflects their consistency and offensive capabilities, making them formidable opponents. On the other hand, Telstar finds themselves in 13th position, struggling with just one win from their seven matches. Their season has been challenging, with a goal tally of only five and a negative goal difference of -7. The team has not secured a victory in their last five matches, contributing to their low confidence and lack of momentum heading into this fixture. The model assigns Feyenoord a 70.3% probability of winning, with a significant chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals at 70.9%. However, one caveat to consider is that Telstar could potentially find a way to frustrate Feyenoord’s attack, especially if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a full explanation of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.6% probability.
Feyenoord have been the stronger side, winning 61% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Feyenoord win as the most likely scoreline at 11.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Feyenoord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Telstar vs Feyenoord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 7.90 | 5.40 | 1.31 | 1.28 | 3.05 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 3.50 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 8.10 | 5.47 | 1.35 | 1.33 | 3.38 | — | — | |
| 6.18 | 5.03 | 1.28 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.33 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 8.30 | 5.68 | 1.34 | 1.28 | 3.05 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 7.60 | 5.70 | 1.35 | 1.34 | 3.25 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.75 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 3.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Feyenoord leads 2-0)In the last two matches between Telstar and Feyenoord, Feyenoord has won both encounters, with a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 wins for Feyenoord. The scorelines indicate that these matches were relatively close, with Feyenoord winning 2-1 on both occasions. This suggests that while Feyenoord has had the upper hand, Telstar has managed to keep the games competitive rather than experiencing heavy defeats. Telstar has not won against Feyenoord in their last two meetings, and they will be looking to change that trend moving forward.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 20 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 15 | DDWWL |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 14 | WWDDL |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 4 | LLLDL |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 3 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 2 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTelstar have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Telstar 2-2 and lost to Telstar 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 14L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Feyenoord have won 7 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Barcelona 5-1 and beat NEC Nijmegen 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 7D 5L from the last 31 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTelstar
No reported absences
Feyenoord
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jeroen Manschot has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Jeroen Manschot to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Telstar have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Feyenoord 6.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Feyenoord have generated 2.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 61% of them. They put 6.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Feyenoord player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
