Viborg vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Tips & Odds
Viborg vs FC Midtjylland
Match Preview
The model favours FC Midtjylland to win against Viborg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Midtjylland currently sits in second place in the Superliga standings, with a strong record of five wins and four draws from nine matches. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, having netted 17 goals while conceding only 9, giving them a goal difference of +8. They remain unbeaten this season, which highlights their consistency and resilience. Conversely, Viborg holds third place with a record of five wins, two draws, and two losses, accumulating 17 points. However, their recent form has been concerning, with only one win in the last five matches (1W 1D 3L). While they have managed to score 15 goals, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, allowing 8 goals, which may be tested against a high-flying Midtjylland side. The model output reflects a win probability in favour of Midtjylland, along with the projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage suggests that they have a strong chance of winning this matchup. However, Viborg could pose a challenge if they manage to capitalize on their home advantage and improve their recent form. For further insights into how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
FC Midtjylland have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. FC Midtjylland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Viborg vs FC Midtjylland| Bookmaker | 1X2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | |
| 3.02 | 3.40 | 2.21 | |
Double Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Midtjylland leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Viborg and FC Midtjylland, the record stands at 1 Viborg win, 4 draws, and 5 FC Midtjylland wins. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several high-scoring encounters, including two 3-3 draws and a 5-1 victory for FC Midtjylland. While Viborg has managed to secure a win, it has been narrow, with their last victory occurring in November 2024. FC Midtjylland's wins have included heavier margins, suggesting they have been more dominant in recent meetings. Overall, the matches have been fairly balanced, with a mix of close contests and a few lopsided results.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 | LWWWW |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WDWDW |
| 3 | Viborg | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 | DLWDL |
| 5 |  Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 10 |  Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 | LLDWD |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 5 | WDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonViborg have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Viborg 4-1 and lost to Viborg 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 6D 15L from the last 37 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Midtjylland have won 13 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Odense 1-1 and beat Sundby 0-7.
Overall, the wider run reads 24W 13D 6L from the last 43 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersViborg
No reported absences
FC Midtjylland
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Viborg have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; FC Midtjylland 6.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Midtjylland have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Midtjylland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.