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Zulte Waregem vs Gent Prediction, Tips & Odds

Zulte Waregem vs Gent

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8
Zulte Waregem
#8 · Jupiler Pro League
WLLLL
0 - 2
Elindus Arena, Waregem (12,300)
Referee: N. Laforge
Gent
#1 · Jupiler Pro League
LDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.95
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.86 (implied 53.8%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 56.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.77). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (56.3% vs 53.8%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Gent to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in second place, Gent has been in impressive form this season, remaining unbeaten with six wins and one draw across their seven matches. Their goal difference of +9 highlights a strong attack and solid defense, with only four goals conceded, which is the best in the league. Zulte Waregem, positioned sixth, has had a mixed start to the season with three wins, two draws, and two losses. While they have shown potential, their recent form is less convincing, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Their goal tally of 10 suggests they can score, but they have also conceded seven goals, indicating vulnerabilities at the back that Gent could exploit. The model gives Gent a strong win probability based on their consistent performance and superior standing in the league. However, Zulte Waregem could pose a challenge, particularly if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Gent. As always, the full method of how these predictions are reached is available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to inform these insights.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Zulte Waregem Win38%2.76
Draw25%3.10
Gent Win37%2.57
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8653.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6651.8%

Zulte Waregem manage games at home, conceding just 1.39 goals per match. Gent score 1.50 on the road.

Correct Score
Zulte Waregem 1-1 Gent
5.6217.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Zulte Waregem -0.5
2.7532%

Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.62
17.9%
0-1
6.98
14.4%
1-0
7.24
13.9%
0-0
7.95
12.6%
1-2
9.29
10.9%
2-1
9.60
10.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Zulte Waregem
-0.0
1.98
Gent
+0.0
1.82
Zulte Waregem
-0.3
2.38
Gent
+0.3
2.21
Zulte Waregem
-0.5
2.75
Gent
+0.5
2.65
Zulte Waregem
-1.5
6.00
Gent
+1.5
5.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Zulte Waregem are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Zulte Waregem vs Gent
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.733.202.522.171.641.851.83
Betfair
2.633.002.552.101.651.801.91
Pinnacle
2.943.112.692.281.68——
SBO
2.672.952.392.261.63——
William Hill
2.703.002.60——1.851.85
Bet365
2.753.102.502.201.651.951.80
1xBet
2.803.282.592.221.681.851.85
Betano
2.803.102.702.221.701.851.90
BetVictor
2.803.132.552.121.621.851.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
68.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
48.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
23.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XZulte Waregem or Draw
63%1.47
12Zulte Waregem or Gent
75%1.33
X2Draw or Gent
62%1.42

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Gent leads 7-3)
3 Zulte Waregem0 Draw7 Gent
13 Mar
Gent
2-0
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Oct 25
Zulte Waregem
4-1
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
Jul 24
Gent
0-2
Zulte Waregem
Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23
Gent
4-2
Zulte Waregem
Friendlies Clubs
Mar 23
Zulte Waregem
2-6
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
Sept 22
Gent
2-0
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Mar 22
Gent
2-1
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Nov 21
Zulte Waregem
1-2
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
Apr 21
Zulte Waregem
2-7
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
Nov 20
Gent
0-3
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League

In the last 10 matches between Zulte Waregem and Gent, Zulte Waregem has won 3 times, while Gent has secured 7 victories, with no draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with Gent achieving several significant wins, including a 6-2 and a 7-2 victory. This suggests a somewhat one-sided historical record, particularly in terms of Gent's ability to score heavily against Zulte Waregem. The last time Zulte Waregem defeated Gent in the league was in November 2020, indicating a trend of Gent's dominance in recent encounters.

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Gent
87101541122
WWDWW
2
Club Brugge KV
87011941521
WWWWL
3
Charleroi
8701167921
WWWLW
4
Union St. Gilloise
86202241820
DWWWW
5
Anderlecht
851296316
WWWDW
6
KVC Westerlo
84132017313
WWWWD
8
Zulte Waregem
8323109111
LLLWD
16
RAAL La Louvière
8116818-104
LLWLD
17
Kortrijk
8107218-163
LWLLL
18
Cercle Brugge
8035916-73
LLDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Zulte WaregemHome
2W0D2L
4 playedGF 6 · GA 41.50 pts/game
GentAway
3W1D0L
4 playedGF 8 · GA 22.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Zulte WaregemGent
1.86Goals p.g.1.5
1.39Goals conceded p.g.1.11
28%Clean sheets36%
50%Win rate41%
3.25Avg goals in match2.61
—xG per game1.43
—xGA per game0.22
—Possession %48%
—Shots on target / game3.1
—Corners per game5.1
Zulte Waregem
Recent Form

Zulte Waregem have won 11 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Seraing United 3-0 and lost to Gent 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 13L from the last 36 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Zulte WaregemAll competitions
17 Oct
Zulte Waregem
3-0
Seraing United
Cup
10 Oct
Zulte Waregem
0-2
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
02 Oct
Lille
2-1
Zulte Waregem
Friendlies Clubs
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3-0
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
13 Sept
Zulte Waregem
0-1
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0-2
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
18
Win
50%
5
Draw
14%
13
Lost
36%
Gent
Recent Form

Gent have won 9 of their last 24 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Gent 2-0 and drew with Rochefort 3-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 16D 10L from the last 44 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: GentAll competitions
22 Oct
SC Braga
2-0
Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Oct
Rochefort
3-3
Gent
Cup
15 Oct
Gent
1-0
Aarhus
UEFA Europa Conference League
10 Oct
Zulte Waregem
0-2
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
18 Sept
Gent
2-1
Standard Liege
Jupiler Pro League
13 Sept
Genk
1-1
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
18
Win
41%
16
Draw
36%
10
Lost
23%

Lineups

Confirmed

Zulte Waregem4-3-2-1Confirmed

5Jakob KiilerichDEF
23Salim DiakitéDEF
4Laurent LemoineDEF
55Yannick CappelleDEF
18Anosike EmentaFWD
13Brent GabrielGK
20Tobias HedlMID
10Malick MbayeMID
11Marley AkéMID
6Enrique LofolomoMID
8Thomas ClaesMID
45Benoit De JaegereDEF
15Youssoupha MbodjiDEF
90Akpa Chukwu HemsleyFWD
7Nikola MituljikićFWD
53Kewan VembaFWD
1Louis BostynGK
21István ÁtrokMID
22Ousseynou NiangMID
36Serxho UjkaMID

Gent3-4-2-1Confirmed

44Siebe Van der HeydenDEF
3Maksim PaskotsiDEF
16Christian BurgessDEF
7Michel Ange BalikwishaFWD
75Ibrahima CisseFWD
11Momodou SonkoFWD
33Davy RoefGK
17Mathias DelorgeMID
45Hyllarion GooreMID
22Leonardo LopesMID
20Tiago AraújoMID
56Mamadou DialloDEF
39Abdul AyindeDEF
57Matties VolckaertDEF
21Max DeanFWD
14Kyrell WilsonFWD
59El Hadji SeckFWD
30Kjell PeersmanGK
27Tibe De VliegerMID
37Abdelkahar KadriMID
10Aimé OmgbaMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Zulte Waregem

No reported absences

Gent

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Zulte Waregem Win2.76 (37.9%)
Gent Win2.57 (37.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.20 (48.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.66 (51.8%)
Both Teams Score1.86 (53.6%)
BTTS No1.85 (46.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.10 (24.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

N. Laforge has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by N. Laforge to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Zulte Waregem average 1.9 goals per match at home; Gent 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 50% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. Zulte Waregem player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.