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Al-Faisaly FC vs NEOM Prediction, Tips & Odds

Al-Faisaly FC vs NEOM

Pro LeagueRegular Season - 2
Al-Faisaly FC
#15 · Pro League
LLWWW
VS
NEOM
#6 · Pro League
WWWWW

Match Preview

The model favours Al-Faisaly FC to win against NEOM, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Faisaly FC enters this match with a strong recent form, having won their last five matches, which speaks to their current momentum and confidence. Despite starting the season with no points yet, their positive trajectory from the previous season could provide them with an edge as they seek to establish themselves early in the current campaign. On the other hand, NEOM has also shown competitive form with three wins in their last five matches, accompanied by a draw and a loss. This suggests they have the capability to challenge Al-Faisaly FC. However, with their current league standing at 15th, they will need to translate their past performance into the new season to avoid early struggles. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Al-Faisaly FC in this matchup, while NEOM sits at 30%. One key market percentage is the likelihood of Al-Faisaly FC scoring over 1.5 goals. A potential caveat for the home side is the pressure of starting a new season, which can sometimes lead to unexpected outcomes. The full predictive method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, relying on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)
1 Al-Faisaly FC0 Draw1 NEOM
May 25
NEOM
4-1
Al-Faisaly FC
Division 1
Jan 25
Al-Faisaly FC
3-2
NEOM
Division 1

The head-to-head record between Al-Faisaly FC and NEOM stands at one win for each team and no draws in their last two encounters. The matches have been competitive, with both teams securing narrow victories; Al-Faisaly FC won 3-2, while NEOM claimed a more decisive 4-1 win. This indicates that while both sides have been able to claim victories, the scorelines suggest a mix of tight contests and one-sided results. There has been no recent dominance by either team, as both have managed to win once in this brief history.

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Al-Nassr
11003033
W
2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
11004223
W
3
Al-Ettifaq
11004223
W
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC
11003123
W
5
Al-Hazm
11002113
W
6
NEOM
11002113
W
15
Al-Faisaly FC
100124-20
L
16
Al Riyadh
100124-20
L
17
Al Shabab
100113-20
L
18
Al-Fateh
100103-30
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Al-Faisaly FCHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game
NEOMAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Al-Faisaly FCNEOM
2.33Goals p.g.1.32
1Goals conceded p.g.1.12
50%Clean sheets28%
75%Win rate44%
3.33Avg goals in match2.44
1.82xG per game1.80
-0.73xGA per game0.21
50%Possession %53%
5.0Shots on target / game5.2
1.0Corners per game5.6
Al-Faisaly FC
Recent Form

Al-Faisaly FC have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to NEOM 1-3 and beat Al Baten 4-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 1D 2L from the last 12 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Al-Faisaly FCAll competitions
18 Aug
Al-Faisaly FC
1-3
NEOM
King's Cup
14 Aug
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-2
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
01 Aug
Beltinci
1-3
Al-Faisaly FC
Friendlies Clubs
14 May
Al-Faisaly FC
4-0
Al Baten
Division 1
09 May
Al Bukayriyah
0-2
Al-Faisaly FC
Division 1
02 May
Al-Faisaly FC
2-0
Al Jabalain
Division 1
9
Win
75%
1
Draw
8%
2
Lost
17%
NEOM
Recent Form

NEOM have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat NEOM 1-3 and beat Las Palmas 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 7L from the last 25 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: NEOMAll competitions
18 Aug
Al-Faisaly FC
1-3
NEOM
King's Cup
14 Aug
NEOM
2-1
Al-Fayha
Pro League
31 Jul
Las Palmas
0-1
NEOM
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jul
NEOM
4-1
Al-Arabi SC
Friendlies Clubs
24 Jul
Orlando Pirates
0-1
NEOM
Friendlies Clubs
22 Jul
Granada CF
2-0
NEOM
Friendlies Clubs
11
Win
44%
7
Draw
28%
7
Lost
28%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Al-Faisaly FC

No reported absences

NEOM

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.