Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Qadisiyah FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Ittihad starts the season in a strong position, currently sitting third in the league. Although both teams have yet to play this season, Al-Ittihad's recent form shows they have won two of their last five matches, which includes a solid performance towards the end of last season. Their attacking potential, demonstrated by scoring in four of those five matches, could be crucial against Al-Qadisiyah. On the other hand, Al-Qadisiyah FC finished the last season with a more positive outlook, having won three of their last five matches. This form includes a notable win streak that could provide them with the confidence needed to challenge a stronger opponent. However, they will need to translate their end-of-season momentum into results against a team that has consistently performed well over the last few fixtures. The model suggests a win probability of around 60% for Al-Ittihad FC, with a projected score of 2-1. A key caveat for this prediction is that both teams are starting fresh this season, and early matches can often yield unexpected results. For a deeper understanding of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results to generate insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have been the stronger side, winning 65% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.75 | 1.45 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 1.71 | 3.98 | 3.65 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.40 | 2.64 | |
| 1.73 | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.44 | 2.70 | — | — | |
| 1.74 | 4.34 | 3.77 | 1.41 | 2.79 | — | — | |
| 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.78 | 4.13 | 3.78 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 1.84 | 3.80 | 3.35 | 1.44 | 2.65 | 1.42 | 2.63 | |
| 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.40 | 2.63 | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 1.82 | 4.15 | 3.85 | 1.47 | 2.75 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
Superbet | 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.47 | 2.72 | 1.46 | 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ittihad FC leads 5-3)In their last 10 encounters, Al-Qadisiyah FC has won 3 matches, Al-Ittihad FC has won 5, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with Al-Ittihad FC achieving more victories, including some decisive wins like a 5-1 result and a 4-1 victory. Al-Qadisiyah FC's wins have generally been closer, with their largest margin being a 3-0 win. The matches have seen a blend of low and high-scoring games, but Al-Ittihad FC has shown a tendency to dominate this fixture historically, as evidenced by their recent success.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Al-Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  NEOM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 16 |  Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Al-Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Qadisiyah FC have won 6 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-0 and beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 2L from the last 23 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Ittihad FC have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Jazira 1-4 and drew with Malaga 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 8L from the last 26 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
Al-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 8.6 corners per match at home; Al-Ittihad FC 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC have generated 2.74 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 65% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Qadisiyah FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
