Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood


Match Preview
The model favours Al-Nassr to win against Al Kholood, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Nassr currently sits in third place in the Pro League standings, boasting a solid record of six wins, one draw, and one loss from eight matches. Their offensive strength is evident with 19 goals scored, while their defensive capabilities are highlighted by only seven goals conceded, resulting in a goal difference of 12. Recent form shows them winning three of their last five matches, suggesting a strong competitive edge. In contrast, Al Kholood finds itself in eighth place with a record of three wins, three draws, and three losses from nine matches. They have scored 14 goals but have also conceded 18, leading to a negative goal difference of four. Their recent form is concerning, with only one win in their last five matches, indicating potential struggles to keep pace with the league's top teams. The model gives Al-Nassr a win probability of approximately 65% for this match. However, it is essential to consider that if Al Kholood manages to capitalize on defensive lapses from Al-Nassr, they could pose a threat. For detailed insights into how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Al-Nassr leads 3-0)







Al-Nassr hold the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings with 1 draws and 0 Al Kholood wins. The record points to a tie Al-Nassr have controlled for years, though the draws show Al Kholood have at times kept it tight.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 25 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 24 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 22 | WWDWL | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 | WLWWW | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 18 | WWWLW | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 | LLDWW | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 | LLLWD | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 | LDLLL | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Al-Nassr have won 15 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat NEOM 1-0 and beat Neftchi 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 27W 2D 7L from the last 36 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Al Kholood have won 4 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al Kholood 3-2 and lost to Al Riyadh 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 13L from the last 32 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Al-Nassr
No reported absences
Al Kholood
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.


