Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq
Match Preview
The model favours Al Kholood to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 8th in the league, Al Kholood has had a moderately successful season with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from their 8 matches. They have scored 12 goals while conceding 15, resulting in a goal difference of -3. Despite this, their recent form shows improvement, with two wins in their last five matches indicating a potential upward trend. On the other hand, Al-Ettifaq sits just above them in 7th place, also with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, but with a goal difference of 0, having scored and conceded 12 goals each. Their recent form has been less impressive, with only one win in their last five matches, alongside three draws and a single loss. This could indicate a struggling side that may find it challenging to maintain consistency. The model gives Al Kholood a strong win probability, reflecting their recent form and slight edge in goal difference. However, a potential caveat is that both teams have similar records, and if Al-Ettifaq can find their scoring touch, they could easily disrupt Al Kholood's plans. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.3% probability.
Al-Ettifaq have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Ettifaq are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.51 | 3.42 | 2.34 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.53 | 2.28 | |
| 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.56 | 3.66 | 2.49 | 1.72 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 2.49 | 3.08 | 2.25 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.62 | 3.58 | 2.45 | 1.66 | 2.14 | 1.53 | 2.32 | |
Betano | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.52 | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (evenly matched 2-2)The head-to-head record between Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq stands at 2 wins for each side, with no draws in their last four encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with three of the matches decided by a single goal, suggesting closely contested fixtures. Al Kholood's victories include a narrow 1-0 win and a 3-2 match, while Al-Ettifaq also secured two tight wins of 2-1. Both teams have shown the ability to win by a slim margin, with no team dominating the series recently, reflecting an evenly matched historical performance.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 22 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  NEOM | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 | LLDWW |
| 8 | Al-Ettifaq | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 15 | LWDDD |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 | LLLWD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl Kholood have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al Kholood 0-5 and beat Al Kholood 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 13L from the last 32 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Ettifaq have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat NEOM 0-1 and drew with Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Kholood
No reported absences
Al-Ettifaq
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al Kholood have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Al-Ettifaq 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ettifaq have generated 1.20 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ettifaq player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
