Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Qadisiyah FC to win this match against Al-Hilal Saudi FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the league, Al-Qadisiyah has had a strong start to the season with six wins, one draw, and just one loss from their eight matches. They have scored 21 goals while conceding only 8, reflecting a solid goal difference of +13. Their recent form has been particularly impressive, going unbeaten in their last five matches. On the other hand, Al-Hilal Saudi FC also presents a formidable challenge as they occupy third place in the standings. With six wins and only one loss from seven matches, they have netted 23 goals and conceded just 5, resulting in a goal difference of +18. However, their recent form shows a slight dip, having lost one of their last five matches. This inconsistency could be a factor as they face the league leaders. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 55% for Al-Qadisiyah, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage indicates that Al-Qadisiyah is favoured to win at around 50%. However, a potential caveat is that if Al-Hilal can capitalise on any defensive lapses from Al-Qadisiyah, they could pull off an upset. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have been the stronger side, winning 72% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.95 | 3.68 | 1.97 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.38 | 2.71 | |
| 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.05 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 2.89 | 3.95 | 2.21 | 1.45 | 2.74 | — | — | |
| 2.69 | 3.28 | 2.03 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.05 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.62 | |
| 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 3.08 | 3.84 | 2.06 | 1.40 | 2.62 | 1.38 | 2.77 | |
Betano | 3.00 | 3.95 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.70 | 1.42 | 2.70 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads 6-2)In the last ten matches between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC, Al-Hilal has won six times, while Al-Qadisiyah has secured two victories, with two matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Al-Hilal to dominate, with several matches featuring notable margins, such as a 4-1 win and a 3-1 win. However, Al-Qadisiyah has managed to keep some matches close, as seen in their two draws and a narrow 2-1 victory. The last win for Al-Qadisiyah against Al-Hilal came in January 2025, suggesting a challenging trend for them in recent encounters.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 22 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  NEOM | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 | LLDWW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Qadisiyah FC have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1 and beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 8D 3L from the last 34 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 14 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al Sadd 0-2 and beat Al Taawon 0-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 26W 8D 2L from the last 36 games (72% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have generated 3.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 72% of them. They put 6.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hilal Saudi FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
