Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ahli Jeddah to win against Al Khaleej Saihat, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al-Ahli Jeddah currently sits in 6th place in the Pro League, having accumulated 12 points from their seven matches. Their season has been marked by a strong goal-scoring ability, with 16 goals scored, reflecting an average of 2.29 goals per game. Despite some inconsistency, their goal difference of +6 indicates a generally solid defensive performance as well. In contrast, Al Khaleej Saihat is struggling at 13th in the standings, with just 5 points from their seven games. They have yet to secure a win this season, managing only five draws and two losses. Their offensive struggles are evident, having scored only 3 goals, which averages out to less than 0.5 goals per game. This lack of scoring power has contributed to their negative goal difference of -7, highlighting their difficulties in both creating and defending against goals. The model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a win probability of approximately 65%, with a projected score of 2-0. One key market to consider is the likelihood of Al-Ahli Jeddah winning to nil, given Al Khaleej Saihat's scoring woes. However, a caveat exists; if Al-Ahli Jeddah's form dips or they underestimate their opponent, the match could become more competitive than anticipated. For further details on the prediction methodology, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah win as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Ahli Jeddah clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Ahli Jeddah are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.30 | 4.80 | 7.10 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.72 | 1.95 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.36 | 5.45 | 7.22 | 1.50 | 2.58 | — | — | |
| 1.31 | 4.80 | 6.57 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 4.80 | 7.50 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.91 | |
| 1.33 | 4.33 | 7.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.38 | 5.14 | 6.56 | 1.51 | 2.42 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 1.38 | 5.20 | 7.40 | 1.52 | 2.62 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 | 1.45 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Al-Ahli Jeddah leads 5-0)In their last seven encounters, Al-Ahli Jeddah has won five times, with two matches ending in draws, while Al Khaleej Saihat has not secured a victory. The scorelines indicate a notable advantage for Al-Ahli Jeddah, highlighted by two heavy wins of 4-1 and a 3-0 victory. The matches have generally been competitive, with three fixtures finishing in draws or narrow margins, but Al Khaleej Saihat's inability to win in this stretch is significant. Their last victory against Al-Ahli Jeddah remains elusive, contributing to a one-sided historical record.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 22 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  NEOM | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 | LLDWW |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 | WWDDD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ahli Jeddah have won 15 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 and beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 25W 6D 9L from the last 40 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al Khaleej Saihat have won 2 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al Khaleej Saihat 2-3 and drew with Al-Ettifaq 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 11D 15L from the last 31 games (16% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ahli Jeddah
No reported absences
Al Khaleej Saihat
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Al Khaleej Saihat 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah have generated 2.55 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ahli Jeddah player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
