Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Qadisiyah FC to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Currently sitting in second place in the league, Al-Qadisiyah has been in impressive form this season, with six wins, one draw, and just one loss from their eight matches. Their goal-scoring ability is highlighted by a total of 21 goals scored, while they have only conceded 8, resulting in a goal difference of +13. In contrast, Al Riyadh finds themselves in 12th position with a record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. They have struggled defensively, conceding 17 goals, which has contributed to a goal difference of -8. While they have shown some resilience with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, their overall performance this season has not been consistent enough to suggest they can challenge a team like Al-Qadisiyah. According to the model, Al-Qadisiyah FC has a strong win probability in this fixture, and their current form supports this assessment. However, Al Riyadh could pose a threat if they manage to capitalise on home advantage. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Al-Qadisiyah FC leads 4-1)In the last six matches between Al Riyadh and Al-Qadisiyah FC, Al Riyadh has won 1 time, there has been 1 draw, and Al-Qadisiyah FC has won 4 times. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Al-Qadisiyah FC to secure comfortable victories, with two matches ending in 4-0 wins. The matches have also featured a mix of tight encounters, such as the 1-0 and 2-1 results. Al Riyadh's last victory came in 2024, suggesting a challenging period against Al-Qadisiyah FC, who have dominated this fixture recently.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 22 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  NEOM | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 | LLDWW |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl Riyadh have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al Riyadh 2-0 and beat Al Riyadh 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 10D 12L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 13 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-1 and drew with Pakhtakor 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 8D 3L from the last 34 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Riyadh
No reported absences
Al-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
