Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro
Match Preview
The model favours Club Queretaro to win this match against Atletico San Luis, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Queretaro currently sits in fourth place in Liga MX with 17 points from nine matches, showcasing a solid season with five wins, two draws, and only two losses. Their defensive record stands out, having conceded just eight goals, which is the second-best in the league. Atletico San Luis, on the other hand, is positioned in 13th place with 12 points from ten matches. Their season has been inconsistent, with three wins, three draws, and four losses leading to a negative goal difference of four. Although they have shown some potential, their ability to convert chances into goals has been a concern, reflected in their goal tally of 14, which is below par for a team aiming for a higher league position. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Club Queretaro, suggesting they are the more likely victors in this encounter. One key market to note is their strong defensive record, which could limit San Luis's scoring opportunities. However, if Atletico San Luis can exploit any defensive lapses and capitalize on their home advantage, they could pose a threat. For a detailed breakdown of our analysis and methodology, including how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Atletico San Luis have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Atletico San Luis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.22 | 3.34 | 2.97 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 2.30 | 3.56 | 3.14 | 1.81 | 2.08 | — | — | |
| 2.28 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 1.78 | 2.06 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.10 | 2.88 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.24 | 3.34 | 3.00 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.60 | 2.19 | |
Betano | 2.27 | 3.45 | 3.05 | 1.78 | 2.07 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between Atletico San Luis and Club Queretaro is even, with each team winning 4 times and 2 matches ending in a draw over the last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of tight contests and more decisive victories, as seen in Atletico San Luis's 4-0 and 3-0 wins, contrasting with Club Queretaro's 4-1 and 3-2 victories. The frequency of draws, including a recent 2-2 friendly, highlights a competitive rivalry. Overall, neither side has managed to dominate, and the last win for Club Queretaro was in February 2025, signifying a possible shift in momentum.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 24 | WDWDL |
| 2 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 3 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 20 | DDLDW |
| 5 |  Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 20 | WDDLW |
| 6 | Club Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 | LLWDL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 9 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 4 | LDLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtletico San Luis have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Atletico San Luis 1-2 and beat Atletico San Luis 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 16L from the last 36 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Club Queretaro have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Club Queretaro 5-0 and beat Guadalajara Chivas 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 12D 10L from the last 34 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtletico San Luis
No reported absences
Club Queretaro
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Atletico San Luis have averaged 3.1 corners per match at home; Club Queretaro 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atletico San Luis have generated 0.98 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atletico San Luis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
