FC Juarez vs Atlante FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC
Match Preview
The model favours Atlante FC to win against FC Juarez, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Atlante sits in 14th place in the standings and has shown more resilience this season, securing two wins, five draws, and three losses from ten matches. Their goal difference of -3 suggests they have been more competitive than Juarez, who has struggled significantly, scoring only seven goals while conceding 25. FC Juarez is at the bottom of the table in 18th position, with just one win from ten matches. Their form has been particularly concerning, with four consecutive losses and a goal difference of -18. This lack of scoring power and defensive frailty makes it difficult for them to compete effectively in the league. According to the model, Atlante has a win probability of around 60%, with the projected score being 2-0. One key market percentage to note is that Atlante is expected to control the match, given Juarez's poor form. However, if Juarez can find an early goal or capitalize on a defensive error, the outcome could be different. The full methodology used for this prediction, which relies on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis has been provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Atlante FC have been the stronger side, winning 23% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Atlante FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.18 | 3.44 | 2.08 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 3.39 | 3.61 | 2.17 | 1.81 | 2.09 | — | — | |
| 2.76 | 3.19 | 2.31 | 1.74 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.05 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.20 | 3.44 | 2.10 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.60 | 2.19 | |
Betano | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 2.07 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.72 | 1.97 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between FC Juarez and Atlante FC stands at four wins for each side and one draw across their last nine matches. This balanced record suggests a competitive rivalry, with both teams having periods of success. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes; while there have been some narrow victories, such as FC Juarez's 1-0 and 2-1 wins, there have also been heavier defeats, particularly Atlante FC's 3-0 win. The draw in their most recent encounter adds to the tight nature of their matchups, reflecting the evenly matched history of these two clubs.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 24 | WDWDL |
| 2 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 3 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 20 | DDLDW |
| 5 |  Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 20 | WDDLW |
| 6 |  Club Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 | LLWDL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 9 | LDLLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 4 | LDLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Juarez have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include drew with FC Juarez 1-1 and beat FC Juarez 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 19L from the last 36 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Atlante FC have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Club Queretaro 2-0 and drew with Puebla 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 11L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Juarez4-2-3-1Confirmed
Atlante FC5-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Juarez
No reported absences
Atlante FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Katia García has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
FC Juarez have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Atlante FC 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atlante FC have generated 0.99 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 23% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atlante FC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
