Brann vs Start Prediction, Tips & Odds
Brann vs Start
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 11th place, Brann has had a challenging season with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses from their 12 matches. They have scored 24 goals while conceding 20, resulting in a goal difference of +4. Despite a recent form slump, where they have managed only one win in their last five matches, their overall attacking output suggests they can find the net against a struggling opponent. On the other side, Start is languishing at the bottom of the table in 16th place, having secured just 1 win, 4 draws, and suffered 7 losses. With only 13 goals scored and a concerning 28 goals conceded, their goal difference stands at -15. This poor performance reflects a team struggling to find consistency, as indicated by their recent form, which mirrors Brann's with just one win in the last five. The model gives Brann a win probability of 67.4%, with a projected score of 2-1. Start's defensive vulnerabilities could allow Brann to exploit gaps, but if they fail to convert their chances, the match could shift unexpectedly. The complete methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals alongside actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Brann have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Brann win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Brann clean sheets, in line with their 3% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Brann vs Start| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.43 | 4.75 | 6.15 | 1.44 | 2.45 | 1.62 | 2.14 | |
| 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.50 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 1.44 | 4.80 | 6.39 | 1.45 | 2.70 | — | — | |
| 1.43 | 4.40 | 5.61 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.80 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.46 | 4.86 | 6.29 | 1.44 | 2.45 | 1.62 | 2.17 | |
| 1.37 | 5.10 | 6.75 | 1.42 | 2.60 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.75 | 1.44 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.47 | 4.60 | 5.90 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.62 | 2.18 |
Superbet | 1.39 | 5.00 | 6.40 | 1.46 | 2.60 | 1.66 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Brann leads 6-0)In the last eight matches between Brann and Start, Brann has won six times, with two matches ending in draws, while Start has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a tendency for closely contested games, with four matches ending in a one-goal margin, including three 1-0 results. However, Brann also recorded a decisive 4-1 victory in 2018, highlighting their ability to dominate at times. Start's last win against Brann dates back to prior to this stretch, making their recent head-to-head record notably one-sided.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 2 |  Viking | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Bodo/Glimt | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 25 | WWLLW |
| 5 |  Molde | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 20 | LDWLW |
| 6 | Brann | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 19 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 | LDDDW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 | DLLLW |
| 16 | Start | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 7 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBrann have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Brann 2-1 and lost to Brann 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 13L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Start have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Brann 2-1 and lost to Bodo/Glimt 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 14L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
17 playersBrann9
Start8
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Stofringshaug has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Stofringshaug to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Brann have averaged 6.4 corners per match at home; Start 2.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brann have generated 1.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
