Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory Prediction, Tips & Odds
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
Match Preview
The model favours Brisbane Roar to win against Perth Glory, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brisbane Roar begins the season positioned fifth in the standings, but without any matches played yet, their recent form shows promise. They secured four wins in their last five matches, highlighting a strong finish to the previous season. This momentum could carry into their opener, potentially giving them an edge over their opponents. Perth Glory, on the other hand, sits fourth in the standings, also with no matches played this season. Their recent form is more mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This inconsistency could pose a challenge as they face a Brisbane side eager to start strong. The lack of a clear winning streak may impact their confidence as they enter this encounter. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Brisbane Roar, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that both teams are entering the match without any recent competitive play, which could lead to unpredictability in performance levels. For a deeper insight into how this prediction was derived, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results over the season. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Perth Glory leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory stands at 4 wins for Brisbane, 1 draw, and 5 wins for Perth. This indicates a closely contested rivalry, with Perth having a slight edge overall. The scorelines reflect a mix of tight matches and a few more decisive outcomes, with several games ending in narrow margins, such as 2-1 and 1-2. Notably, Brisbane has not lost to Perth in their last three encounters, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. However, the overall record remains competitive, highlighting the intensity of their matchups.
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBrisbane Roar have won 0 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Brisbane Roar 2-4 and lost to Brisbane Roar 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 5D 10L from the last 20 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Perth Glory have won 0 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Lions 1-1 and drew with Sydney 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 7D 7L from the last 19 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBrisbane Roar
No reported absences
Perth Glory
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
