Bristol City vs Blackburn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bristol City vs Blackburn
Match Preview
The model favours Bristol City to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Blackburn. Currently sitting in 8th place, Bristol City has shown a solid start to the season with four wins, one draw, and three losses from their eight matches. Their goal-scoring has been slightly below par with 11 goals but has been complemented by a competitive defensive record, conceding just 12 goals. The recent form of three wins in their last five games indicates they are finding their rhythm as the season progresses. On the other hand, Blackburn is positioned 16th in the table and has struggled to find consistent form. With only two wins from eight matches, their record of two draws and three losses has left them with just nine points. While they have managed to score 12 goals, their defensive efforts have not been strong enough to secure more points, as they have conceded the same number of goals. The recent trend of one win in their last five suggests they are in need of improvement to climb the standings. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Bristol City, with a projected score of 2-1. One potential caveat is that if Blackburn can tighten their defence and find a way to convert their chances, they could pose a challenge. The full method behind these predictions is available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Bristol City manage games at home, conceding just 1.34 goals per match. Blackburn score 1.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Bristol City have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bristol City clean sheets, in line with their 20% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Bristol City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bristol City vs Blackburn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.93 | 3.58 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.76 | 1.95 | 1.89 | — | — | |
| 1.99 | 3.02 | 3.18 | 1.89 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.95 | 3.58 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.04 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bristol City leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between Bristol City and Blackburn, Bristol City has won 5 times, Blackburn has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close matches; however, Bristol City has recorded some decisive victories, including a 5-0 win in April 2024. Blackburn's last win against Bristol City came in November 2025, suggesting a recent struggle for consistency against them. The presence of multiple draws and narrow margins reflects that while wins have been achieved by both sides, the matches have often been tightly contested.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 | WWWLD |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 3 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 16 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Wolves | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 | DWLLW |
| 12 | Blackburn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 | WDWLL |
| 22 |  Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 7 | WDLDL |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | DDLLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 4 | LDLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBristol City have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bristol City 1-0 and lost to Bristol City 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 14L from the last 35 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Blackburn have won 6 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Portsmouth 2-2 and lost to Preston 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 11D 12L from the last 35 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
10 playersBristol City3
Blackburn7
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
David Webb has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by David Webb to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Bristol City have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Blackburn 6.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bristol City have generated 1.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 37% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bristol City player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
