Wrexham vs West Brom Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wrexham vs West Brom
Match Preview
The model favours West Brom to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Wrexham. Currently sitting in 5th place, West Brom has shown solid form this season with four wins, two draws, and two losses from their eight matches. Their goal difference of +2, alongside a total of 14 points, indicates a competitive edge, particularly in their ability to score, netting 10 goals so far. Wrexham, positioned 14th in the league, has struggled to find consistency with just two wins from eight matches. Their goal difference of -3 reflects their defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 12 goals while scoring only 9. With two wins, four draws, and two losses, they will need to improve their form to challenge a side like West Brom. The model gives West Brom a win probability of approximately 55%, with the projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage is that West Brom is expected to score at least two goals. However, a concern for West Brom could be their recent tendency to draw matches, which could open the door for Wrexham if they can capitalize on any defensive lapses. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Wrexham manage games at home, conceding just 1.35 goals per match. West Brom score 1.38 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
Wrexham have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Wrexham are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wrexham vs West Brom| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.24 | 3.34 | 3.04 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.93 | |
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 2.26 | 3.48 | 3.12 | 2.04 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 2.13 | 3.02 | 2.84 | 2.04 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.26 | 3.34 | 3.05 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.15 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.13 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (West Brom leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Wrexham and West Brom stands at one win for West Brom, one draw, and no wins for Wrexham over the last two matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive nature, with both fixtures resulting in close outcomes; Wrexham managed to secure a draw in their most recent encounter, while West Brom edged out Wrexham with a narrow victory in the earlier match. Overall, the results suggest a tightly contested rivalry, with neither side dominating the other historically in this limited sample.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 | WWWLD |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 3 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 16 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Wolves | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | DDDDL |
| 9 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 22 |  Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 7 | WDLDL |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | DDLLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 4 | LDLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWrexham have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Wrexham 2-1 and drew with Wrexham 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 9D 11L from the last 34 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
West Brom have won 8 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Wolves 1-0 and beat Derby 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 12D 9L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
7 playersWrexham5
West Brom2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
James Bell has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by James Bell to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Wrexham have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; West Brom 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wrexham have generated 1.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wrexham player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
