Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction, Tips & Odds
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia
Match Preview
The model favours Omonia Nicosia to win against Celje, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Omonia Nicosia currently sits higher in the standings, having secured three points from their opening match, where they achieved a clean sheet. Their season form indicates positive momentum, with three wins in their last five matches, which reflects a solid competitive edge as they enter this fixture. Celje, on the other hand, has struggled early in this campaign, with no points from their first match and a goal difference of -2. Their recent form shows just one win in their last five matches, which underscores their difficulties in converting chances into goals. This lack of scoring power could be a significant hurdle against a team that has demonstrated defensive resilience. According to the model, Omonia Nicosia has a win probability of around 60%, with the projected score being 1-0. However, a potential caveat is Celje's home advantage; if they can leverage it effectively, they might pose a greater challenge than their current form suggests. For a comprehensive understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the methodology of our in-house model is explained, focusing on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Omonia Nicosia have been the stronger side, winning 61% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Omonia Nicosia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.43 | 3.42 | 2.92 | 1.84 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.49 | 3.45 | 2.79 | 1.82 | 2.03 | — | — | |
| 2.34 | 3.07 | 2.52 | 1.84 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.88 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.47 | 3.47 | 2.96 | 1.87 | 2.01 | 1.63 | 2.17 | |
Betano | 2.47 | 3.50 | 2.77 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.77 | 1.91 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCelje have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Celje 0-1 and lost to Celje 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 11L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Omonia Nicosia have won 4 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Aris 1-4 and lost to St. Truiden 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 3L from the last 23 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCelje
No reported absences
Omonia Nicosia
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Celje have averaged 2.5 corners per match at home; Omonia Nicosia 3.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Omonia Nicosia have generated 2.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 61% of them. They put 6.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Omonia Nicosia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
