Lyon vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lyon vs Crystal Palace
Match Preview
The model favours Crystal Palace to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Crystal Palace currently sits in second place in the group after their strong opening match, where they scored four goals without conceding. Their season form has been impressive, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating they are in good rhythm. The standout statistic for them is their goal difference of +4, showcasing their offensive prowess and defensive solidity. On the other hand, Lyon is positioned 11th in the standings after one match, where they secured a win but with a more modest goal difference of +1. Their recent form shows three wins and two draws in their last five matches, which suggests they can be competitive. However, they will need to tighten their defence, as they have already conceded one goal in their opening Europa League fixture. The model's output gives Crystal Palace a significant win probability based on their overall performance metrics. However, a potential caveat for Palace could be complacency, as they may underestimate Lyon despite their current form. The full methodology of this prediction, which analyses expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this in-house model to evaluate matches comprehensively.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
Lyon have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Lyon are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Lyon vs Crystal Palace| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.18 | 3.66 | 3.18 | 1.66 | 2.23 | 1.53 | 2.34 | |
| 2.15 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.16 | 3.73 | 3.12 | 1.63 | 2.28 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.07 | 2.70 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.21 | 3.72 | 3.22 | 1.69 | 2.27 | 1.53 | 2.37 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.65 | 3.15 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Crystal Palace leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between Lyon and Crystal Palace, Crystal Palace leads with 1 win, while Lyon has not secured any victories or draws. The only match played ended in a 2-0 win for Crystal Palace, indicating a clear victory. This result suggests that Crystal Palace had a comfortable performance, as they managed to keep a clean sheet while scoring two goals. Since this is the only encounter recorded, there is insufficient data to identify any patterns or trends regarding competitiveness or scoring frequency in their matchups.
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLyon have won 13 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Lyon 4-0 and beat Lyon 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 11L from the last 38 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Crystal Palace have won 6 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Leeds 0-0 and beat Fulham 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 16L from the last 42 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLyon
No reported absences
Crystal Palace
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Lyon have averaged 6.7 corners per match at home; Crystal Palace 1.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lyon have generated 1.46 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lyon player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
