Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction, Tips & Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown
Match Preview
The model favours Chongqing Tongliang Long to win the match against Hangzhou Greentown, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Chongqing currently sits in a strong second place in the league standings, having accumulated 27 points from 17 matches with a record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses. Their goal difference of +2 indicates a solid defensive performance, complemented by a moderate scoring rate of 21 goals. Recent form shows they have secured three wins in their last five matches, indicating a team in good shape heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Hangzhou Greentown finds themselves in a more challenging position, sitting in 10th place with 17 points from the same number of games. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, along with a negative goal difference of -6, suggests they have struggled defensively, conceding 29 goals. Their recent form has been disappointing, with only one win in their last five matches, which could impact their confidence and performance on the pitch. The model's output suggests a win probability of 60% for Chongqing Tongliang Long, alongside the projected score of 2-1. A key market statistic indicates that the odds for Chongqing to win are considerably in their favour. However, a potential caveat is that if Hangzhou Greentown manages to exploit any defensive lapses from Chongqing, they could pose a significant threat. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as it is based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
Chongqing Tongliang Long have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Chongqing Tongliang Long are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.64 | 3.45 | 2.38 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 2.74 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.66 | 2.16 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 2.63 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.85 | 3.56 | 2.46 | 1.69 | 2.21 | — | — | |
| 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 1.66 | 2.19 | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.35 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.80 | 3.56 | 2.44 | 1.70 | 2.19 | 1.55 | 2.33 | |
| 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.54 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.42 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
Superbet | 2.72 | 3.40 | 2.37 | 1.61 | 2.17 | 1.52 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Chongqing Tongliang Long leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Hangzhou Greentown, Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 1 match, with no draws or wins for Hangzhou Greentown. The lone fixture ended with a narrow score of 1-0 in favor of Chongqing Tongliang Long. This tight result indicates a competitive matchup, though Hangzhou Greentown has not managed to secure a victory in their only encounter to date.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 48 | WLDDD |
| 2 |  Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 34 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 32 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Dalian Zhixing | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 30 | DLLLD |
| 11 | Hangzhou Greentown | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 24 | LLWDW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonChongqing Tongliang Long have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-3 and beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 11D 10L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hangzhou Greentown have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Beijing Guoan 2-1 and drew with Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 12D 11L from the last 32 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Hangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Hangzhou Greentown 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chongqing Tongliang Long have generated 0.67 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 2.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chongqing Tongliang Long player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.