Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Match Preview
The model favors Chongqing Tongliang Long to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-0 against Wuhan Three Towns. As the second-placed team in the league, Chongqing has shown strong consistency this season with 28 points from 18 matches, including seven wins and seven draws. Their goal difference of +2 highlights a solid defensive record, conceding only 20 goals, which is crucial for maintaining their position near the top of the table. In contrast, Wuhan Three Towns finds themselves in the relegation zone at 16th place, with just 8 points from 17 matches. Their form has been troubling, with only two wins this season and a goal difference of -10, indicating vulnerabilities at both ends of the pitch. Their recent performance shows a lack of victories, with three draws and two losses in their last five matches, making it difficult to build momentum. The model output gives Chongqing a significant win probability, reflecting their strong league standing and recent performances. However, a potential caveat is the unpredictability of football, as unexpected events or a sudden turnaround in form can influence the match outcome. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Wuhan Three Towns manage games at home, conceding just 2.00 goals per match. Chongqing Tongliang Long score 1.17 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Wuhan Three Towns have been the stronger side, winning 15% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Wuhan Three Towns clean sheets, in line with their 19% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Wuhan Three Towns are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.24 | 1.92 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.85 | — | — | |
| 2.17 | 3.42 | 3.31 | 1.95 | 1.87 | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.17 | 3.48 | 3.34 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
Betano | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Chongqing Tongliang Long leads 1-0)Chongqing Tongliang Long leads the head-to-head record against Wuhan Three Towns with 1 win and no draws or losses. The only match between these teams ended with Chongqing winning 2-1, indicating a competitive game but ultimately a narrow victory. There is currently no indication of a dominant trend in their encounters, as only one match has been played. Wuhan Three Towns will be looking to improve their record against Chongqing, who claimed the only win in this matchup.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 29 | DDLWL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 25 | DLWLD |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 25 | DLWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 11 | WLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWuhan Three Towns have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0 and drew with Yunnan Yukun 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 9D 14L from the last 27 games (15% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Chongqing Tongliang Long have won 7 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Chengdu Better City 1-1 and lost to Shenyang Urban 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 7L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Chongqing Tongliang Long 2.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wuhan Three Towns have generated 1.58 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 15% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wuhan Three Towns player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
