Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction, Tips & Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Preview
The model favours Yunnan Yukun to win this match against Sichuan Jiuniu, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Yunnan Yukun currently sits in 5th place in the league standings with 24 points from 18 matches. Their season has seen a mix of results, highlighted by 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. They have scored 34 goals while conceding 33, indicating a slightly positive goal difference. Recent form shows a slight upward trend, with two wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu is positioned 9th with 20 points, having achieved 6 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses this season. Their goal tally stands at 25 scored and 31 conceded, resulting in a negative goal difference of -6. Although their recent form includes three wins in the last five matches, they have struggled with consistency throughout the season, which may hinder their chances against a more stable Yunnan side. Based on the model's analysis, Yunnan Yukun has a higher win probability, reflecting their stronger overall performance this season. However, one caveat to consider is Sichuan Jiuniu's recent ability to secure victories, which could pose a challenge if they find their rhythm. For the full methodology behind this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which details our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.4% probability.
Yunnan Yukun have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Yunnan Yukun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.79 | 3.86 | 3.82 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.40 | 2.68 | |
| 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.70 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.84 | 3.93 | 3.84 | 1.43 | 2.77 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.75 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 1.84 | 3.98 | 3.94 | 1.44 | 2.87 | 1.40 | 2.73 | |
Betano | 1.83 | 3.85 | 3.65 | 1.42 | 2.65 | 1.42 | 2.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Yunnan Yukun leads 3-0)Yunnan Yukun has a perfect head-to-head record against Sichuan Jiuniu, winning all three of their encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive nature, with Yunnan Yukun winning by narrow margins of 4-3 and 3-1, suggesting that while they have been victorious, the matches were closely contested. Sichuan Jiuniu has not managed to secure a win in these meetings, and their last defeat was particularly recent in April 2026. Overall, Yunnan Yukun's dominance is clear, but the matches have shown that Sichuan Jiuniu can challenge them.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 29 | DDLWL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 25 | DLWLD |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 25 | DLWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 11 | WLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonYunnan Yukun have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 2-2 and beat Henan Jianye 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 10L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sichuan Jiuniu have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0 and lost to Tianjin Teda 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 16L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersYunnan Yukun
No reported absences
Sichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Yunnan Yukun have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Sichuan Jiuniu 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Yunnan Yukun have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Yunnan Yukun player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
