Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Jonoon to win against Tianjin Teda, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Qingdao currently sits in 14th place in the league, having accumulated 14 points from 17 matches with a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. They have scored 27 goals this season while conceding 28, resulting in a goal difference of -1. Despite a mixed form of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, they maintain a slight edge over their opponents. On the other hand, Tianjin Teda is positioned 15th in the league table, with only 8 points from their 17 matches, which includes 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. They have scored 22 goals but have also conceded 22, reflecting a goal difference of 0. Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches, suggesting a level of competitiveness that could pose a challenge to Qingdao. The model gives Qingdao a win probability of approximately 55%, while Tianjin’s chances are around 25%, with the remaining percentage allocated to a draw. However, Qingdao's inconsistency could lead to vulnerabilities, particularly if they fail to convert chances. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes expected goals and actual results to assess fixture outcomes.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.4% probability.
Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.65 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| 2.75 | 3.18 | 2.50 | 1.96 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 1.99 | |
| 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 2.88 | 3.36 | 2.54 | 1.98 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 2.57 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 1.82 | — | — | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.83 | 3.27 | 2.57 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.71 | 2.02 | |
| 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.70 | 1.97 | 1.71 | 1.74 | 1.94 | |
Betano | 2.70 | 3.15 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.82 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.47 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.70 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Tianjin Teda leads 4-2)In their last seven encounters, Qingdao Jonoon has won 2 matches, drawn 1, and lost 4 to Tianjin Teda. The scorelines indicate a tendency for close contests, with four matches decided by a single goal, but also include a notable 4-1 victory for Tianjin Teda. Qingdao Jonoon's victories have been by 2-0 and 3-1 margins, suggesting they can score but have struggled against Tianjin Teda overall. The most recent match ended in a draw, indicating a potential shift, but Tianjin Teda's recent dominance is evident, having won four out of the last seven meetings.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 29 | WWDDW |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Jonoon have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Shanghai Shenhua 0-1 and lost to Tianjin Teda 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 17L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Tianjin Teda have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 and beat Shanghai Shenhua 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 11L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedQingdao Jonoon4-4-2Confirmed
Tianjin Teda4-5-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Tianjin Teda
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Jonoon have averaged 3.6 corners per match at home; Tianjin Teda 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tianjin Teda have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
